Saturday's football game at Europa-Park Stadion sees Freiburg take on RB Leipzig. As Freiburg are eager to book their place in the Conference League, we predict a 2-1 home win. The hosts head into this match after a narrow 3-2 defeat to Hamburg, but their overall form remains competitive with 1.6 points per game across the last 10 matches. Freiburg are stronger at home, averaging 2.25 goals scored and a 75% win rate, but their defensive record is fragile, particularly without injured defender Matthias Ginter. They concede 1.5 goals per game overall and often struggle when pressed in transition-heavy games.
Leipzig are in excellent form, having secured Champions League qualification with a 2-1 win over St. Pauli. The Red Bulls average 2.1 goals per game and boast an outstanding 80% win rate across their last 10 matches. Even with possible rotation, their depth is strong, and their attacking structure remains consistent. Defensively they are solid, conceding just 1.1 per match, and they control games well through high pressing and quick vertical attacks.
As Freiburg want this win more than Leipzig, punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on Home Win, alongside Freiburg Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (both teams high scoring profiles).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Freiburg vs Leipzig prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Freiburg 2 - 1 Leipzig
Freiburg vs Leipzig Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -188 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Igor Matanovic @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Igor Matanovic @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Kosta Nedeljkovic @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: SC Freiburg +0.5 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: SC Freiburg +1 @ -200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -200 Odds
- Draw No Bet: SC Freiburg to Win @ -120 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: SC Freiburg to Win/SC Freiburg to Win @ 300 Odds
- Clean Sheet: SC Freiburg - No @ -500 Odds
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View OfferFreiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwllldwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wwdw | 2.50 |
| Away | wwllll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 2.25 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.67 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.54 | 1.22 | 1.75 |
Leipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwwwwlw | 2.40 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | wlwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.80 | 2.16 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.34 | 1.11 | 1.57 |
Freiburg vs Leipzig Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Freiburg (17%)
23 Matches
Leipzig (57%)
