As Freiburg appear to have the upper hand in this Bundesliga clash, our betting tip points towards a 2-1 home win. The Black Forest side have been impressive on home turf, winning two of their last three matches at Schwarzwald-Stadion while averaging two goals per game. With an expected goals against of just 0.90 at home, Freiburg are difficult to break down, and their ability to control possession and create chances makes them strong favourites against Mainz. There are no fresh injury worries in the home team.
Mainz, on the other hand, have struggled on the road this season, scoring just 0.50 goals per away match and suffering three consecutive away defeats. Their low scoring record and defensive lapses make it likely they will concede, although moments of quality in attack could see them find a goal. Adding to their woes, both Dominik Kohr and Nadiem Amiri are sidelined for the visiting team.
Given Freiburg’s home form and Mainz’s vulnerability, there is value in betting on Home Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Freiburg to win & BTTS are interesting options to consider, reflecting the attacking potential of both sides.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 30 November 2025 at 18:30.
What is our Freiburg vs Mainz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Freiburg 2 - 1 Mainz
Freiburg vs Mainz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 125 Odds
- To be booked: Kacper Potulski @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferFreiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | dww | 2.33 |
| Away | lwdwl | 1.29 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.86 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.29 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 43% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 0.90 | 1.61 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwld | 1.10 |
| Home | wldwd | 1.33 |
| Away | wlll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.83 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.46 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.42 | 1.35 | 1.54 |
Freiburg vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Freiburg (29%)
31 Matches
Mainz (39%)
