Freiburg return home aiming to bounce back from a narrow 1-0 defeat to Stuttgart, and the Breisgau side will hope their excellent home form continues. Given Werder Bremen's difficulties on the travels, we predict a 1-0 home win. With 2.60 points per home game and an 80% home win rate, Freiburg have been one of the league’s strongest hosts. Their defence has also impressed at the Europa-Park Stadion, conceding just 0.60 goals per home match, supported by a strong 1.12 xGA. Philippe Treu is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock, but Freiburg’s structure should remain stable.
Werder Bremen, meanwhile, extended their winless run after a 1-1 draw with Gladbach, although substitute Keke Topp once again showed his impact from the bench. Bremen’s away numbers remain a major concern: they collect only 0.40 points per away game, score just 0.40 goals, and fail to score in 80% of their away matches. Defensively they are slightly better, keeping 40% clean sheets on the road, but their 0% win rate highlights how rarely they threaten.
Considering Freiburg's fine home form and Bremen’s winless run, Home Win seems like the best betting option alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals as Freiburg defend well at home and Werder rarely score on the road.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 7 February 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Freiburg vs Werder Bremen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Freiburg 1 - 0 Werder Bremen
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Lucas Holer @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Yukinari Sugawara @ 125 Odds
- Asian Handicap: SC Freiburg 0 @ -211 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: SC Freiburg to Win @ -225 Odds
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View OfferFreiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwll | 1.70 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Away | wldll | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.61 | 2.17 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.12 | 1.68 |
Werder Bremen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlld | 0.50 |
| Home | dldld | 0.60 |
| Away | lddll | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected Goals | 1.36 | 1.76 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.40 | 1.56 |
Freiburg vs Werder Bremen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Freiburg (33%)
30 Matches
Werder Bremen (40%)
