Hamburg look to get back on course after a 2-1 defeat to Freiburg, but with Bayer Leverkusen producing fine performances on the road, our predictiong leans toward a 2-1 away win. HSV's recent home form offers some encouragement: they average 1.80 PPG at home, scoring 1.60 goals per match and producing 100% BTTS in their last five at the Volksparkstadion. Defensively, however, they remain fragile, conceding 1.20 goals per home game with just 0 clean sheets in that stretch. Daniel Elfadli's suspension and HSV's long injury list definitely support our betting angle.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive with far stronger momentum, particularly away from home where they collect an impressive 2.40 PPG and concede only 0.80 goals per away match. Kasper Hjumland may ease Edmond Tapsoba back into action after international duty, but Leverkusen’s depth should compensate. Their expected goals numbers—1.22 away xG and 2.15 xGA—suggest a more cautious away approach, yet they still score 1.80 goals per road match. Striker Patrik Schick remains doubtful after missing a 4-1 loss to Stuttgart with injury.
Given Leverkusen's superior squad depth and strong away metrics, Away Win should be considered, alongside Over 2.5 goals (54% H2H) and Leverkusen Over 1.5 goals.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Tuesday 13 January 2026 at 19:30.
What is our Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hamburg 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 160 Odds
- To be booked: Robert Andrich @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferHamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwldl | 1.20 |
| Home | dwdwd | 1.80 |
| Away | wllll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.42 | 1.34 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.42 | 1.65 |
Bayer Leverkusen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwl | 1.90 |
| Home | wldwl | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.93 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.00 | 2.15 |
Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hamburg (29%)
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Bayer Leverkusen (42%)
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