What is our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg prediction?
Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Hamburg
Our prediction for this match: Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Hamburg
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Preview
Hoffenheim will be aiming to bounce back from a 3-1 defeat to Paderborn when they take on Hamburg on Matchday 5, having beaten Stuttgart 2-1 in their last home game. The hosts were unfortunate to leave Paderborn empty-handed after registering 23 goal attempts and 1.50 xG, and they have been particularly entertaining at home, with their last four matches averaging 4.25 goals per game. Kosovo international Albian Hajdari is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock during the Nations League window. Hoffenheim have also scored in all of their last four home games.
Hamburg, meanwhile, will be hoping to build on a 2-1 victory over Koln. Yussuf Poulsen is pushing for a rare start after scoring as a substitute in that game, while defender Sebastiaan Bornauw has overcome his injury and is expected to return to the starting XI. HSV have won 60% of their last five away matches, although they have conceded 1.80 goals per game on the road. The visitors have also scored in three of their last five away fixtures.
Given Hoffenheim’s 4.25-goal home average and the H2H record, we are tempted to place our bets on Hoffenheim Over 1.5, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30.
- League
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sat 10 Oct 2026, 14:30UK time
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Hoffenheim 3-1 Hamburg | 9/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/11 | |
| Draw No Bet: TSG Hoffenheim | 1/7 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: TSG Hoffenheim / TSG Hoffenheim | 1/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: TSG Hoffenheim -1 | 3/5 | |
| European Handicap: Hamburg +3 | 3/10 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Andrej Kramaric | 10/11 | |
| First Goalscorer: Andrej Kramaric | 4/1 | |
| To be Booked: Nicolas Capaldo | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/7 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 2/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| TSG Hoffenheim Clean Sheet: No | 4/9 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Hoffenheim vs Hamburg?
You can place your bets on Hoffenheim vs Hamburg at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferHoffenheim Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwllwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | ldwlll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.25 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 2.09 | 1.95 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
Hamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwwlllww | 1.60 |
| Home | ldlww | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.40 | 1.57 |
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hoffenheim (45%)
22 Matches
Hamburg (36%)
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Past Results
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