Hoffenheim will be aiming to bounce back from a 3-1 defeat to Paderborn when they take on Hamburg on Matchday 5, having beaten Stuttgart 2-1 in their last home game. The hosts were unfortunate to leave Paderborn empty-handed after registering 23 goal attempts and 1.50 xG, and they have been particularly entertaining at home, with their last four matches averaging 4.25 goals per game. Kosovo international Albian Hajdari is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock during the Nations League window. Hoffenheim have also scored in all of their last four home games.
Hamburg, meanwhile, will be hoping to build on a 2-1 victory over Koln. Yussuf Poulsen is pushing for a rare start after scoring as a substitute in that game, while defender Sebastiaan Bornauw has overcome his injury and is expected to return to the starting XI. HSV have won 60% of their last five away matches, although they have conceded 1.80 goals per game on the road. The visitors have also scored in three of their last five away fixtures.
Given Hoffenheim’s 4.25-goal home average and the H2H record, we are tempted to place our bets on Hoffenheim Over 1.5, alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hoffenheim 3 - 1 Hamburg
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 900 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Andrej Kramaric @ -111 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Andrej Kramaric @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Nicolas Capaldo @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: TSG Hoffenheim -1 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Hamburg +3 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -550 Odds
- Draw No Bet: TSG Hoffenheim to Win @ -700 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: TSG Hoffenheim to Win/TSG Hoffenheim to Win @ 100 Odds
- Clean Sheet: TSG Hoffenheim - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferHoffenheim Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwllwlll | 1.00 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | ldwlll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.25 | 3.67 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 2.10 | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| BTTS | 70% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 2.09 | 1.95 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
Hamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldwwlllww | 1.60 |
| Home | ldlww | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.40 | 1.57 |
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hoffenheim (45%)
22 Matches
Hamburg (36%)
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Past Results
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