Hoffenheim and Hamburg square off against each other in a matchup that promises tempo, chances and, very likely, goals, with our predicted outcome 2-1. The hosts remain one of the strongest home sides in the league, collecting 2.25 points per game and scoring 2.25 goals per match in front of their fans. Even without the suspended Bernardo, their attacking rhythm should remain intact, especially with an xG home average of 1.63, reflecting consistent chance creation.
Hamburg arrive in solid overall form (DLWDW), though their away numbers are far less convincing. With only 0.75 points per game on the road and conceding 1.75 goals per away match, defensive lapses continue to haunt them. The return of Rossing-Lelesiit from suspension is a boost, but HSV still tend to leave space in transitions, something Hoffenheim are well equipped to exploit.
This fixture is historically evenly balanced (8 wins each from 20 H2H meetings), but both teams’ current trends point towards a more open encounter. Given Hoffenheim's home strength and superior scoring numbers, Home Win is our main betting tip, with additional value on Over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 13 December 2025 at 14:30.
What is our Hoffenheim vs Hamburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Hamburg
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Precious Benjamin @ 110 Odds
- To be booked: Kevin Akpoguma @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferHoffenheim Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwl | 1.80 |
| Home | lwww | 2.25 |
| Away | wdwdl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 2.25 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.63 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.41 | 1.32 |
Hamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwdw | 1.40 |
| Home | ldwdw | 1.83 |
| Away | lwll | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.83 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.63 | 1.69 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.44 |
Hoffenheim vs Hamburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hoffenheim (40%)
20 Matches
Hamburg (40%)
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