An entertaining clash awaits as RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund in a matchup between two sides with contrasting momentum. Anyhow, our prediction points toward a 2-2 draw as both sides are capable of scoring. The Red Bulls continue to struggle for rhythm, collecting just 1.10 points per game overall, and their home form is particularly concerning with only 0.80 PPG. Defensively, Leipzig concede 2.4 goals per home match, though their attacking output remains stable at 1.40 goals scored both home and away. The absence of goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi further weakens the back line, which already posts 1.38 xGA at home.
Borussia Dortmund travel with confidence after a strong Champions League win over Atalanta (2-0) and a Bundesliga run of six straight victories, averaging 2.20 points per game. Offensively, the Yellow-Blacks remain sharp with 2.30 goals scored per match, and away from home Niko Kovac's men generate 1.79 expected goals, suggesting they can exploit Leipzig’s defensive instability. Historically, this fixture is balanced—each club has nine wins from the last 21 meetings—but goals are almost guaranteed: 86% over 1.5 and 67% BTTS.
Given the attacking potential of both sides, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score (Leipzig 70% BTTS; Dortmund strong away attack), alongside Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals (both teams average above 3.3 goals per game combined).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Leipzig 2 - 2 Borussia Dortmund
Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2 @ 1000 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 110 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -225 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -700 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Yan Couto @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Borussia Dortmund +0.5 @ -134 Odds
- European Handicap: Borussia Dortmund +1 @ -138 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -138 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 550 Odds
- Clean Sheet: RB Leipzig - No @ -400 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund?
You can place your bets on Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund at the following bookmakers:
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View OfferLeipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwld | 1.10 |
| Home | lwlld | 0.80 |
| Away | lwdwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.31 | 1.38 | 1.24 |
Borussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwlww | 2.50 |
| Away | dlww | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.67 | 1.59 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.09 | 1.53 |
Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leipzig (43%)
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Borussia Dortmund (43%)
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