What is our Leipzig vs Hamburg prediction?
Leipzig
3 - 1
Hamburg
Our prediction for this match: Leipzig 3 - 1 Hamburg
Leipzig vs Hamburg Preview
Leipzig will be eager to return to winning ways when they take Hamburger SV in Bundesliga round 3 having suffered a 3-1 defeat to Werder Bremen last time out. The Red Bulls had 19 goal attempts and 1.50 xG in that setback, showing they remained dangerous going forward, while they thrashed Borussia M’gladbach 3-0 in their first home game. Marc Guiu is pushing for a start, with Lukeba, Romulo Cardoso and Gruda doubtful.
HSV, meanwhile, need a major response after being hammered 5-0 by Mainz at the weekend, raising questions about their ability to compete at this level. Changes are expected, with Vieira, Daka and Nandja all pushing for starting roles. Die Rothosen have conceded 1.90 goals per game across their last 10 matches and have kept just one clean sheet. In their last meeting with Leipzig at Red Bull Arena, HSV suffered a 2-1 loss to Leipzig, which suits our betting angle.
Leipzig are a real force to be reckoned with at home and given HSV's recent struggles, Home Win seems like a sure bet, alongside Leipzig Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (75% of the previous eight H2H meetings produced at least three goals).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 14:30.
- League
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sun 13 Sep 2026, 14:30UK time
Leipzig vs Hamburg Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Leipzig 3-1 Hamburg | 9/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 1/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: RB Leipzig | 1/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig | 5/6 | |
| Asian Handicap: RB Leipzig -1 | 9/20 | |
| European Handicap: RB Leipzig -1 | 4/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Christopher Nkunku | 10/11 | |
| First Goalscorer: Christopher Nkunku | 9/2 | |
| To be Booked: Nicolas Capaldo | 12/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/12 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| RB Leipzig Clean Sheet: No | 2/5 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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View OfferLeipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwllwwll | 1.50 |
| Home | www | 3.00 |
| Away | lwllwll | 0.86 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.67 | 1.71 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 0.00 | 2.29 |
| BTTS | 50% | 0% | 71% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 100% | 14% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 14% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 2.62 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.55 | 1.12 |
Hamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlwldwwll | 1.40 |
| Home | wldl | 1.00 |
| Away | dlwwwl | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 4.25 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.50 | 1.83 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.75 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 70% | 75% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 1.25 | 1.70 |
Leipzig vs Hamburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Leipzig (75%)
8 Matches
Hamburg (13%)
Leipzig vs Hamburg Past Results
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