Expect a thrilling atmosphere at Mewa Arena when Mainz take on Bayer Leverkusen, with the hosts aiming to build on a thrilling 4-3 victory over Borussia M’gladbach before the international break. Die Nullfunfer have been in excellent form lately, winning 70% of their last 10 matches while scoring an impressive 3.20 goals per game. Anthony Caci limped off with an injury in the latest Bundesliga game, meaning Danny da Costa could step up after scoring as a substitute against M’gladbach. Mainz have also won 60% of their last five home matches.
Bayer Leverkusen, on the other hand, aim to build on a 2-0 victory over Leipzig as they look to climb towards the Champions League places. Guela Doue has overcome his injury and should return to the squad, while winger Nathan Tella remains in the recovery room. Die Werkself have been particularly strong overall, winning seven of their last 10 matches, although their away record has been less convincing, with just a 40% win rate. They have nevertheless scored in all 10 of those games.
Both sides possess plenty of attacking quality, but Bayer Leverkusen to Win is our main betting tip given their stronger H2H record, with 20 wins in 36 meetings. Over 2.5 goals bet also seems tempting as 53% of previous H2H meetings went over this line.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Mainz 1 - 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 110 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrik Schick @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Facundo Medina @ 160 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen 0 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Bayer Leverkusen +1 @ -500 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Bayer Leverkusen to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Bayer Leverkusen to Win/Bayer Leverkusen to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Bayer Leverkusen - No @ -400 Odds
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View OfferMainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwwwdwlww | 2.30 |
| Home | wwwdl | 2.00 |
| Away | dwwww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.20 | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| Scored | 3.20 | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.90 | 1.61 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.20 | 1.16 | 1.26 |
Bayer Leverkusen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwlwdww | 2.20 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.40 | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.86 | 1.82 | 1.90 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.99 | 0.86 | 1.13 |
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Mainz (25%)
36 Matches
Bayer Leverkusen (56%)
Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Past Results
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