A close Bundesliga clash is on the cards when Mainz welcome St. Pauli, with our prediction leaning toward a 1-1 draw. Die Nullfunfer head into this fixture on a five-game winless run (llldd), collecting just 0.70 points per game overall and scoring only 0.7 goals per match. Despite slightly better results at home (1.00 PPG), they have failed to keep a single clean sheet this season and have scored in just 50% of their league matches. Their expected goals figure of 1.05 highlights ongoing attacking issues, even if they tend to stay competitive. There are some concerns for the hosts, as Kawasaki picked up a knock in the 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich, with Nordin expected to step in if needed.
St. Pauli, on the other hand, have similar problems, also winless in four of their last five (llwdw) and conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game. However, their matches are often open, with BTTS landing in 60% overall and 80% of away games. Eric Smith’s suspension is a blow, as the midfielder has been one of their standout performers. There are no fresh injury worries in the away team.
Taking everything into account, Over 1.5 goals be should be considered as 100% of H2H meetings landed this line. Additionally, Both Teams to Score Over 3.5 yellow cards markets seem appealing.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 21 December 2025 at 14:30.
What is our Mainz vs St Pauli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Mainz 1 - 1 St Pauli
Mainz vs St Pauli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Armindo Sieb @ 175 Odds
- To be booked: Dominik Kohr @ 150 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llldd | 0.70 |
| Home | ldwdl | 1.00 |
| Away | llldd | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.05 | 1.37 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.43 | 1.99 |
St Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwdw | 0.80 |
| Home | ldllw | 0.80 |
| Away | lllwd | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.47 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.51 | 1.53 | 1.48 |
Mainz vs St Pauli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Mainz (100%)
4 Matches
St Pauli (0%)
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