What is our Mainz vs Werder Bremen prediction?
Mainz
2 - 1
Werder Bremen
Our prediction for this match: Mainz 2 - 1 Werder Bremen
Mainz vs Werder Bremen Preview
Mainz will try to build on their hard-fought 1-0 win over Schalke after previously suffering a seven-goal thriller defeat to Bayer Leverkusen. Die Nullfünfer created chances worth 1.94 expected goals against Schalke and have no fresh injury concerns, although Kohr, Ruoppi and Silas continue to struggle with fitness issues. Their home performances have been less convincing than their overall form, with a 40% win rate and an average of 2.00 goals scored per game on their own turf. Die Nullfunfer will need to be more clinical to overcome an opponent enjoying a lengthy unbeaten run.
Werder Bremen have gone five games without defeat and are expected to maintain their attacking approach after sharing the spoils in a 2-2 draw with Paderborn. Niclas Fullkrug is one to watch after his brace in that encounter, and his return should provide an extra threat up front. Werder have scored in every one of their last ten away matches, while 75% of their away games have featured goals at both ends. However, conceding 1.75 goals per away game could leave them vulnerable against Mainz.
Given Werder’s 3.50 average total goals away from home and Mainz's signs of improvement up front, we are tempted to bet on Both Teams to Score, alongside Over 2.5 goals (59% H2H) and Mainz or Draw.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:30.
- League
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:30UK time
Mainz vs Werder Bremen Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Mainz 2-1 Werder Bremen | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 2/9 | |
| Draw No Bet: Mainz | 1/3 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Mainz / Mainz | 13/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Mainz -0.5 | 29/40 | |
| European Handicap: Werder Bremen +2 | 2/5 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Phillip Tietz | 11/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Phillip Tietz | 11/2 | |
| To be Booked: Marco Friedl | 21/10 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Mainz Clean Sheet: No | 3/10 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferMainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwdwlwwlw | 2.20 |
| Home | wwdll | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.30 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Scored | 3.20 | 2.00 | 4.40 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.97 | 1.86 | 2.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.25 | 1.26 | 1.24 |
Werder Bremen Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dllwlwdwdd | 1.30 |
| Home | dllwwd | 1.33 |
| Away | wldd | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.17 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.73 | 1.91 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.64 |
Mainz vs Werder Bremen Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Mainz (32%)
34 Matches
Werder Bremen (47%)
Mainz vs Werder Bremen Past Results
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