What is our Paderborn vs Hamburg prediction?
Paderborn
1 - 2
Hamburg
Our prediction for this match: Paderborn 1 - 2 Hamburg
Paderborn vs Hamburg Preview
Paderborn have endured an inconsistent spell ahead of the visit of Hamburg, following their victory over Hoffenheim with a defeat to Stuttgart and a 2-2 draw against Werder Bremen. Their home form is a concern, with just one win in three matches and an average of 1.00 goals scored per game on their own turf. Mattes Hansen is doubtful after picking up a knock at the weekend, meaning Jonah Sticker could be handed an opportunity. Paderborn will need to improve defensively, having conceded an average of 1.96 expected goals per home match.
Hamburg, meanwhile, travel in confident mood after extending their winning streak to three games with a narrow 1-0 victory over Stuttgart. However, they were fortunate to keep a clean sheet, as their opponents recorded 2.28 expected goals. Injuries to Daka, Jatta, Remberg and Lokonga could complicate matters, but HSV have won 60% of their recent matches and scored 1.60 goals per away game. Their attacking quality should test a Paderborn defence that has struggled for consistency.
Anyhow, Hamburg to Win looks appealing given their momentum, while Over 2.5 goals is supported by the fact that 73% of previous meetings cleared that line; Both teams to score is another option, with Paderborn conceding 1.33 goals per home game despite their recent attacking contributions.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:30.
- League
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sat 24 Oct 2026, 14:30UK time
Paderborn vs Hamburg Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Paderborn 1-2 Hamburg | 10/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 4/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Hamburg | 11/10 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Hamburg / Hamburg | 7/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Hamburg +0.5 | 3/5 | |
| European Handicap: Hamburg +1 | 4/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Terem Moffi | 6/4 | |
| First Goalscorer: Terem Moffi | 11/2 | |
| To be Booked: Nicolas Capaldo | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/5 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 8/15 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/5 | |
| Paderborn Clean Sheet: No | 1/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferPaderborn Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwdllwwld | 1.30 |
| Home | lwl | 1.00 |
| Away | ddwdlwd | 1.43 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 29% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 2.33 | 3.14 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.57 |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% | 57% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 29% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 67% | 29% |
| Expected Goals | 1.57 | 1.78 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.91 | 1.96 | 1.88 |
Hamburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwlllwwww | 1.90 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | wwllw | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.80 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.68 | 1.73 |
Paderborn vs Hamburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Paderborn (40%)
15 Matches
Hamburg (47%)
Paderborn vs Hamburg Past Results
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