St. Pauli host RB Leipzig in what promises to be an intriguing clash in the 2. Bundesliga. With Leipzig being in a much better form than St. Pauli, we predict a 3-1 away win. The hosts return Eric Smith from suspension after a goalless draw with Mainz, and the home side will look to build on their 1.00 points-per-game average, despite a 20% win rate at home. Defensively, they’ve struggled, conceding 1.60 goals per home match, though they manage a 20% clean sheet rate. Offensively, they average 0.80 goals at home, but expected goals of 1.48 indicate potential to create more.
The Red Bulls, coming off a 3-1 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen, are missing Diomande and Haidara due to suspension, yet remain a potent force with 2.40 points per home game and an impressive 3.00 goals scored at home. Both teams see goals, with St. Pauli involved in 60% BTTS matches this season, while Leipzig boast the same rate. H2H is balanced, with 3 wins apiece from 7 meetings. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team, which definitely supports our betting angle.
As 6 of their last 7 H2H matches saw at least two goals, both Over 1.5 goals and BTTS markets seem tempting, alongside Away Win as Leipzig have been in a fine form of late.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 14:30.
What is our St Pauli vs Leipzig prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Pauli 1 - 3 Leipzig
St Pauli vs Leipzig Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-3
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Conrad Harder @ 162 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferSt Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdd | 1.00 |
| Home | dllwd | 1.00 |
| Away | llwdd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.48 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.31 | 1.48 |
Leipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwll | 1.90 |
| Home | wwwwl | 2.40 |
| Away | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.90 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.91 | 2.12 | 1.70 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.33 |
St Pauli vs Leipzig Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Pauli (43%)
7 Matches
Leipzig (43%)
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