St. Pauli host RB Leipzig in a Bundesliga clash where both sides are looking to build momentum. Given Leipzig's attacking potential, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-0 away win. The hosts come off a 0-0 draw in the Hamburg derby, but midfielder Adam Dzwigala is suspended. The team has struggled for wins recently, earning 1.0 point per game, scoring 0.9 goals and conceding 1.2 on average. Home form is slightly better with 1.25 points per game and just 0.5 goals conceded per match. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their games, though they have failed to score in 40% of matches.
Leipzig, on the other hand, sit higher in the table and recorded two wins in their last three outings, despite injuries to Bakayoko, Gebel, Lukeba, and Oudraogo. The Red Bulls average 1.6 points per game, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 1.5, with consistent clean sheet numbers (50%). Away form is weaker, but their attack remains potent with 1.25 goals per away match.
Head-to-head history is balanced with three wins each from seven meetings, but we predict Away Win as Leipzig attack remains strong despite aforementioned injuries. Additionally Under 3.5 goals and Leipzig to Score First bets boast big value.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Tuesday 27 January 2026 at 19:30.
What is our St Pauli vs Leipzig prediction?
Our prediction for this match: St Pauli 0 - 2 Leipzig
St Pauli vs Leipzig Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Conrad Harder @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Manolis Saliakas @ 240 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferSt Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddlld | 1.00 |
| Home | lwdd | 1.25 |
| Away | wddll | 0.83 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.00 | 2.83 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 60% | 25% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.03 | 1.17 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.07 | 1.57 |
Leipzig Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwlw | 1.60 |
| Home | wwlwl | 2.00 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.50 | 4.00 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.90 | 2.09 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.42 | 1.10 |
St Pauli vs Leipzig Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
St Pauli (43%)
7 Matches
Leipzig (43%)
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