Stuttgart returned to winning ways with an impressive 3-0 victory over Borussia M’gladbach and look well-placed to build on that momentum. Given Freiburg's recent struggles on the road, we predict a 2-1 home win. Die Schwaben's overall form (WWDLW) reflects consistency, and the hosts have been strong at the MHPArena with 1.83 points per game and 1.83 goals scored on average. Stuttgart also produce solid underlying numbers at home, generating 1.49 xG while conceding 1.26 xGA, suggesting a controlled but attack-oriented approach. Defensively, they have kept 30% clean sheets overall and allow just 0.75 goals per game away, highlighting improved organizational balance.
Freiburg, meanwhile, come into this derby in good form themselves (WLDWW). They have been excellent at home but less convincing on the road, taking only 1.00 point per away match and conceding 2.25 goals per game. Their away xGA of 1.66 underlines those defensive vulnerabilities. The potential absence of defender Lukas Kübler, who picked up a knock against Köln, only adds to their concerns. Historically, this matchup favours Stuttgart, who have won 15 of the last 30 meetings.
Stuttgart's better home numbers and Freiburg’s weaker away form make the hosts favourites. Therefore, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, alongside Stuttgart to Score First and Over 2.5 goals as 80% of their H2H encounters have featured 3 or more goals.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Sunday 1 February 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Stuttgart vs Freiburg prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stuttgart 2 - 1 Freiburg
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Deniz Undav @ 450 Odds
- To be booked: Nicolas Hofler @ 240 Odds
- Asian Handicap: VfB Stuttgart -0.5 @ -160 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 6 - 8 @ 175 Odds
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View OfferStuttgart Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdlw | 2.00 |
| Home | wdwwd | 1.83 |
| Away | wwlw | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.60 | 3.67 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 1.83 | 2.75 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.83 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.69 | 1.49 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.26 | 1.33 |
Freiburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wldww | 2.00 |
| Home | wdwww | 2.67 |
| Away | lwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.50 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.74 | 2.02 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.35 | 1.15 | 1.66 |
Stuttgart vs Freiburg Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Stuttgart (50%)
30 Matches
Freiburg (40%)
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