What is our Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction?
Union Berlin
1 - 2
Borussia Dortmund
Our prediction for this match: Union Berlin 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Preview
Union Berlin will hope their latest victory can spark a climb away from danger when Borussia Dortmund visit the capital. Mauro Lustrinelli’s side edged Elversberg 1-0, limiting their opponents to just 0.24 expected goals in a disciplined defensive display. Union have averaged 1.98 xG at home, suggesting they can create chances despite their inconsistent results. Josip Juranovic, Andrik Markgraf and Stanley Nsoki have had injury problems, but their absences were not felt at the weekend.
Borussia Dortmund, meanwhile, remain firmly in the title race after letting a two-goal lead slip in a 2-2 draw with Werder Bremen. Niko Kovac will expect a stronger finish, with Carney Chukwuemeka and Julian Ryerson reportedly back from injury. Dortmund have won all 4 of their recent away matches, averaging 3 goals per game on their travels. Their attacking quality should test Union’s defence, which has conceded 1.67 goals per game at home.
Union’s home advantage could help them find the net, but Dortmund’s away record makes the visitors favourites. Therefore, Aqay Win, Both teams to score and Dortmund Over 1.5 goals bets should be considered.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30.
- League
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Sat 17 Oct 2026, 14:30UK time
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Union Berlin 1-2 Borussia Dortmund | 15/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/11 | |
| Draw No Bet: Borussia Dortmund | 2/11 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Borussia Dortmund / Borussia Dortmund | 6/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Union Berlin +1.5 | 5/8 | |
| European Handicap: Borussia Dortmund +1 | 1/12 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy | 5/6 | |
| First Goalscorer: Serhou Guirassy | 7/2 | |
| To be Booked: Rani Khedira | 12/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/13 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 1/2 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheet: No | 4/9 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 13/8 | |
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferUnion Berlin Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwdwdlllw | 1.50 |
| Home | dwddlw | 1.50 |
| Away | wwll | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.40 | 3.83 | 5.25 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 1.67 | 3.50 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.70 | 1.98 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.68 | 1.27 | 2.31 |
Borussia Dortmund Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwwwwwdl | 2.00 |
| Home | dlwwwd | 1.83 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.30 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 2.20 | 2.17 | 2.25 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.97 | 1.92 | 2.05 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.32 |
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Union Berlin (25%)
16 Matches
Borussia Dortmund (69%)
Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Past Results
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