Union Berlin welcome Mainz in what should be an exciting Bundesliga clash. Given Mainz's poor away record, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. Janik Haberer returns from suspension for the hosts after missing their narrow 1-0 win over Cologne, bolstering a midfield that averages 1.30 goals per game while conceding 1.30. Union Berlin have scored in 80% of their home matches this season, with BTTS occurring in 83% of home games, highlighting their attacking threat. Their expected goals of 1.65 at home suggest they should create plenty of opportunities against a Mainz side that has struggled on the road, earning just 0.40 points per away game.
Mainz arrive off a goalless draw with St. Pauli and are without fresh injury concerns, but they have scored only 0.60 goals per away match and failed to find the net in 60% of their away fixtures. You should know that die Nullfunfer have recorded only one win on the road this term. H2H heavily favors Union Berlin, who have won 7 of the last 12 encounters, while Mainz have managed just 1 victory.
Given Union Berlin's dominant H2H record and home form, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 (83% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (58%).
This Bundesliga match will be played on Saturday 10 January 2026 at 14:30.
What is our Union Berlin vs Mainz prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Union Berlin 2 - 1 Mainz
Union Berlin vs Mainz Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Andrej Ilic @ 200 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferUnion Berlin Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllww | 1.40 |
| Home | ddllw | 1.33 |
| Away | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.17 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 83% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.65 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.32 | 1.21 |
Mainz Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddwd | 1.00 |
| Home | wdlwd | 1.60 |
| Away | llldd | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.07 | 1.41 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.20 | 1.99 |
Union Berlin vs Mainz Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Union Berlin (58%)
12 Matches
Mainz (8%)
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