Wolfsburg head into Wednesday's match against St. Pauli trying to respond after their humiliating 8-1 loss to Bayern Munich. The good news is that the Wolves avoided any fresh injuries in the Allianz Arena defeat. Therefore, we predict that they will defeat St. Pauli 2-1 on Matchday 19. Wolfsburg's form remains unstable, with just 1.00 PPG overall and a poor 0.60 PPG at home, where they have lost three of their last four. Defensively, they continue to leak goals—2.40 conceded per match and 0 clean sheets at home—while their 80% BTTS rate suggests frequent end-to-end games. Their attacking numbers are decent (1.80 home goals scored), but the defensive imbalance remains their biggest issue.
St. Pauli, who had the weekend off, also sit on 1.00 PPG but look slightly more resilient despite missing Nemeth and Hountondji. They concede less than Wolfsburg (1.50 vs 2.40) and maintain a strong 80% BTTS rate away, indicating they usually find a way to contribute on the scoresheet. Their expected goals away (0.84) suggests limited chance creation, but they compensate with work rate and organization. There are no fresh injury worries for the visiting side as they were not in action at the weekend.
As Wolfsburg recent games average 4.00 goals and St. Pauli's 2.40 on the road, Over 2.5 goals market seems tempting, alongside Home Win and Wolfsburg Over 1.5 goals as St. Pauli are not regarded as good travellers.
This Bundesliga match will be played on Wednesday 14 January 2026 at 17:30.
What is our Wolfsburg vs St Pauli prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Wolfsburg 2 - 1 St Pauli
Wolfsburg vs St Pauli Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Dzenan Pejcinovic @ 162 Odds
- To be booked: Maximilian Arnold @ 220 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferWolfsburg Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwwll | 1.00 |
| Home | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Away | wldwl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 4.00 | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.23 | 1.47 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.54 | 2.11 |
St Pauli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdd | 1.00 |
| Home | dllwd | 1.00 |
| Away | llwdd | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.48 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.31 | 1.48 |
Wolfsburg vs St Pauli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Wolfsburg (0%)
4 Matches
St Pauli (0%)
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