Bristol City vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips | 30/01/2026

Bristol City vs Derby Prediction and Betting Tips | 30 January 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

29 January 2026 • 11:37 UTC • 1 min read

Bristol City vs Derby Prediction and Betting Tips 30 January 2026

Bristol City welcome Derby County in the Championship round 30. As the Robins have been strong at home, winning 80% of their home games and averaging 2.80 goals, we predict a 1-0 home win. Overall, the Robins have earned 1.60 points per game, conceding only 0.90 goals per match, highlighting a solid defensive record. Injuries to All Bird, McNally, and Williams are notable, but they remain in good form following a 2-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday.

Derby County, meanwhile, have been more effective on the road, picking up 2.00 points per away game and scoring 1.60 goals per match away from home. They’ve kept 40% clean sheets away, and Carlton Morris is the only absentee after a draw with West Brom. Head-to-head history is balanced, with both sides winning 10 of the last 27 meetings.

Given Bristol City's srong home form and solid defence, we are tempted to place our bets on Home Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals.

This Championship match will be played on Friday 30 January 2026 at 20:00.

What is our Bristol City vs Derby prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Bristol City 1 - 0 Derby

Bristol City vs Derby Betting Tips

Anytime Goalscorer: Sinclair Armstrong @ 200 Odds
First Goalscorer: Sinclair Armstrong @ 550 Odds
To be booked: Sondre Langas @ 150 Odds
Asian Handicap: Bristol City 0 @ -182 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds

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Bristol City Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	lwdlw	1.60
Home	wwlww	2.40
Away	lwldl	0.80

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	80%	20%
Average Goals Per Game	2.60	3.40	1.80
Scored	1.70	2.80	0.60
Conceded	0.90	0.60	1.20
BTTS	30%	20%	40%
Clean Sheets	40%	60%	20%
Failed to Score	40%	20%	60%
Expected Goals	1.39	1.59	1.19
Expected Goals Against	1.29	1.11	1.46

Derby Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	llwwd	1.50
Home	dwlld	1.00
Away	wdlww	2.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	20%	60%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.40	2.40
Scored	1.30	1.00	1.60
Conceded	1.10	1.40	0.80
BTTS	70%	80%	60%
Clean Sheets	30%	20%	40%
Failed to Score	0%	0%	0%
Expected Goals	1.22	1.12	1.33
Expected Goals Against	1.47	1.54	1.40