Burnley will be desperate to turn their fortunes around when they face Middlesbrough after suffering back-to-back defeats to West Brom and Norwich. The Clarets have yet to win any of their last 10 matches, picking up just 0.50 points per game during that spell, while their defensive struggles have been particularly evident. Josh Laurent is suspended following his red card against Norwich, although Burnley did create plenty of opportunities in that 4-1 defeat, registering 16 goal attempts and 1.38 xG.
Middlesbrough, meanwhile, arrive in considerably better spirits after an impressive 3-1 victory over West Brom. Boro are among the leading promotion contenders and have won four of their last 10 matches, while their attacking numbers remain encouraging with an average of 1.80 xG. Summer signing Will Lankshear is already proving his worth, having scored an incredible six goals in all competitions this season. Jeremy Sarmiento is likely to miss out through injury, but Middlesbrough should still have enough firepower to trouble a vulnerable Burnley defence.
Boro are in much better form and Burnley remain winless this season. Therefore, our main betting tip firmly points toward Away Win, alongside Over 2.5 goals and BTTS (BTTS has landed in 80% of both teams' last 10 matches).
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Burnley vs Middlesbrough prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Burnley 1 - 2 Middlesbrough
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -200 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Will Lankshear @ 130 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Will Lankshear @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Neto Borges @ 187 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Middlesbrough 0 @ -182 Odds
- European Handicap: Middlesbrough +1 @ -300 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Middlesbrough to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Middlesbrough to Win/Middlesbrough to Win @ 240 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Middlesbrough - No @ -400 Odds
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View OfferBurnley Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldlddldl | 0.50 |
| Home | dldd | 0.75 |
| Away | dllldl | 0.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.75 | 3.17 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.33 |
| BTTS | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.46 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.03 | 1.69 |
Middlesbrough Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldldwwlww | 1.40 |
| Home | ldwww | 2.00 |
| Away | lldlw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.80 | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.29 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
Burnley vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Burnley (35%)
17 Matches
Middlesbrough (35%)
