Charlton head into this clash boosted by a narrow 1-0 win over nine-man Sheffield United, but injuries to Edwards and Hernandez limit Nathan Jones’ options. As Charlton and Derby seem to be evenly matched, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Addicks’ numbers underline their inconsistency: just 0.90 points per game overall, though they improve to 1.40 PPG at home. Charlton concede 1.70 goals per match and allow an xGA of 1.96, one of the highest defensive figures in the league, while both teams have scored in 70% of their fixtures.
Derby’s campaign remains unpredictable, alternating wins and losses across their last five (LWLLW). The Rams travel well, collecting 1.75 PPG away and winning 50% of their road matches. They score 1.50 goals per away game and hold a strong 50% clean-sheet rate on their travels—far superior to Charlton’s 0% home-away clean-sheet ratio. Derby also carry a dominant H2H record, winning 10 of the last 18 meetings. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team following a 1-0 win over Preston.
As BTTS occurs in 70% of matches for both sides overall, Both Teams to Score bet boast big value, alongside Draw and Half-Time Draw.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday 20 January 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Charlton vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Charlton 1 - 1 Derby
Charlton vs Derby Betting Tips
- Anytime Goalscorer: Charlie Kelman @ 210 Odds
- To be Booked: Conor Coventry @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferCharlton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddlw | 0.90 |
| Home | lwdlw | 1.40 |
| Away | ldlld | 0.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.28 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.96 | 1.90 | 2.01 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllw | 1.20 |
| Home | ddwll | 0.83 |
| Away | wdlw | 1.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.67 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.43 |
Charlton vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Charlton (22%)
18 Matches
Derby (56%)
