Charlton welcome Middlesbrough to The Valley looking to halt a worrying slide after four defeats in five. Given the lack of confidence in the home team, our prediction points toward a 2-1 away win. Charlton's home numbers are notably stronger, returning 1.75 PPG with 50% wins, though defensive issues persist—Charlton concede 1.75 goals per home match and hold only 25% clean sheets. Going forward, they average 3.00 total goals per home game, yet score just 1.25 themselves, reflecting their modest xG output of 1.25. Amari’I Bell’s injury could be a big blow, removing a key outlet on the left and weakening their defensive balance.
Middlesbrough head into Tuesday's clash in far better shape, picking up 1.80 PPG overall and showing resilience away from home with 1.60 PPG and just one defeat in five on the road. Their attack travels well, scoring 1.40 goals per away match, while an impressive 0.91 xGA shows they limit chances effectively. Their high BTTS rate (80% overall) indicates games involving Boro tend to open up. Aidan Morris is sidelined, but Michael Carrick’s squad depth should allow them to cover the midfield gap without major disruption.
Given Charlton's poor losing run and Middlesbrough's promotion ambitions, Away Win is our main betting choice for this encounter, with additional value on BTTS and Over 2.5 goals.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday 9 December 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Charlton vs Middlesbrough prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Charlton 1 - 2 Middlesbrough
Charlton vs Middlesbrough Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Tommy Conway @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Conor Coventry @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferCharlton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllll | 1.10 |
| Home | wdwl | 1.75 |
| Away | wdlll | 0.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.81 | 1.51 | 2.02 |
Middlesbrough Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdlww | 1.80 |
| Home | wdwlw | 2.00 |
| Away | wlddw | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.58 | 1.73 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.16 | 1.42 | 0.91 |
Charlton vs Middlesbrough Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Charlton (10%)
10 Matches
Middlesbrough (70%)
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