What is our Charlton vs Portsmouth prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Charlton 1 - 0 Portsmouth
Charlton vs Portsmouth Preview
Charlton Athletic welcome Portsmouth with both Edwards and Knibbs unavailable, adding pressure to Nathan Jones’ selection options. Anyhow, we predict Home Win as Portsmouth head into the match with a severely-weakened squad. Despite the injuries, Charlton’s recent form has stabilised slightly, taking 7 points from their last five games and producing a respectable 1.33 points per game at home. Their defensive record at The Valley – 1.33 goals conceded per match – is slightly better than their overall average, while their home expected goals of 1.44 suggests they create more than enough to trouble most visitors. However, Charlton have scored just 0.83 goals per home game, indicating a recurring efficiency issue.
Portsmouth travel to London with a lengthy injury list and coming off a narrow 1-0 defeat to Sheffield United, yet their statistical profile remains competitive. John Mousinho’s side average 1.20 points per game overall and have kept 25% away clean sheets, though their away scoring rate is only 0.50 goals per match. Their strong xGA numbers (just 1.23 on the road) indicate defensive organization remains their biggest weapon.
As both sides struggle up front (Charlton 0.83 home goals; Portsmouth 0.50 away), there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Home Win and Charlton to Win to Nil due to their better home expected goals metrics.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday, 17 February 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Tue 17 Feb 2026, 19:45UK time
Charlton vs Portsmouth Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/5 | |
| Draw No Bet: Charlton | 8/11 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Charlton / Charlton | 10/3 | |
| Asian Handicap: Charlton 0 | 31/40 | |
| European Handicap: Charlton +1 | 4/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Charlie Kelman | 11/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: No Goalscorer | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Marlon Pack | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/6 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/25 | |
| Charlton Clean Sheet: Yes | 6/4 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferCharlton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lddlwllwdw | 1.20 |
| Home | dlwldw | 1.33 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.17 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.25 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.44 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.84 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
Portsmouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllwddwll | 1.20 |
| Home | dwldwl | 1.33 |
| Away | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.67 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.49 | 1.68 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.13 | 1.23 |
Charlton vs Portsmouth Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Charlton (50%)
14 Matches
Portsmouth (29%)





