Pride Park will be the stage for a fascinating Championship clash as Derby County take on Birmingham City on Matchday 7. The Rams have endured a difficult spell, losing seven of their last 10 matches, including a 1-0 defeat to ten-man West Brom despite recording 1.28 xG. Their home form is particularly concerning, with Derby winning none of their last six at home and conceding 2.00 goals per game. Salvesen and Ward are in line for recalls, while there are no fresh injury concerns.
Birmingham City will be looking to bounce back after a 2-1 defeat to Norwich, despite creating 14 attempts and registering 1.62 xG. The Blues have been much more reliable on their travels, winning 40% of their last 10 away matches while conceding just 0.80 goals per game. They have also found the net in 80% of their last 10 overall games. Gray, Leonard and Gardner-Hickman remain sidelined, but Birmingham should have enough quality to cause problems.
As Derby are winless in six home games, we are tempted to place our bets on Birmingham City, who produced a promising display at Norwich. Therefore, Away Win is our main betting tip alongside BTTS and Over 2.5 goals (the H2H has produced over 2.5 goals in 64% of 28 meetings).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Derby vs Birmingham City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 1 - 2 Birmingham City
Derby vs Birmingham City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-2 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: August Priske @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: August Priske @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Eiran Cashin @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Derby +1.5 @ -435 Odds
- European Handicap: Birmingham +1 @ -334 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Birmingham to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Birmingham to Win/Birmingham to Win @ 250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Birmingham - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Derby vs Birmingham City?
You can place your bets on Derby vs Birmingham City at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllldlwll | 0.70 |
| Home | llldll | 0.17 |
| Away | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.83 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| BTTS | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.51 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.84 | 1.63 | 2.10 |
Birmingham City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ddwddlwddl | 1.20 |
| Home | ddldd | 0.80 |
| Away | dwdwl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.52 | 1.19 |
Derby vs Birmingham City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (39%)
28 Matches
Birmingham City (21%)
Derby vs Birmingham City Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Serbia
Greece
Portugal
Wales
Norway
Denmark
Netherlands
Germany
Australia
Brazil
Turkey
France
