What is our Derby vs Blackburn Rovers prediction?
Derby
2 - 1
Blackburn Rovers
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 1 Blackburn Rovers
Derby vs Blackburn Rovers Preview
Derby County look to revive their playoff ambitions after a frustrating 4-2 defeat to Hull City, though the positive news is the absence of any fresh injuries. As Blackburn continue to struggle on the travels, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Rams remain inconsistent, but their overall numbers show promise: they score 1.60 goals per match and create 1.32 xG, while BTTS has landed in 60% of their league games. Home form, however, is a concern, with Derby averaging just 0.80 points per game at Pride Park and keeping only 20% clean sheets.
Blackburn Rovers travel in survival mode as their long injury list continues to limit squad rotation. Despite a spirited 2-1 loss to Bristol City, their attacking output remains low, scoring just 0.80 goals per game across all venues. Their away form is particularly shaky, yielding only 0.80 points per game, while defensive issues show in 1.67 xGA on the road.
Historically, Blackburn have the upper hand, winning 13 of the last 24 meetings, with Over 1.5 goals landing in 79% of those clashes. Both teams’ current defensive vulnerabilities suggest another open contest. As Derby matches average 3.10 goals and H2H supports goals, we are tempted to bet on Over 2.5 goals, alongside Home Win and Derby Over 1.5 goals as the Rams boast better scoring output.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday, 28 February 2026 at 12:30.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Sat 28 Feb 2026, 12:30UK time
Derby vs Blackburn Rovers Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Derby 2-1 Blackburn Rovers | 17/2 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 4/11 | |
| Draw No Bet: Derby | 1/2 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Derby / Derby | 5/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Derby 0 | 21/40 | |
| European Handicap: Derby +1 | 2/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang | 15/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Eiran Cashin | 7/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 4/9 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 13/10 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/9 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/14 | |
| Derby Clean Sheet: No | 1/2 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwdwlwll | 1.30 |
| Home | lldlw | 0.80 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.32 | 1.07 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.44 | 1.59 | 1.29 |
Blackburn Rovers Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlldlwlwwl | 1.10 |
| Home | dlwwl | 1.40 |
| Away | dlllw | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.45 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.06 | 1.67 |
Derby vs Blackburn Rovers Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (25%)
24 Matches
Blackburn Rovers (54%)
Derby vs Blackburn Rovers Past Results
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