Derby aim to recover from a 3-1 loss to Leicester City and we predict that they will do so with a 2-1 win over Millwall. Derby continue to impress despite a long injury list, with Johnston, Morris, Ozoh, and Travis still sidelined — but the Rams have shown they can cope, winning three of their last five and averaging 1.4 goals per home game. Their home scoring consistency, combined with a relatively high BTTS rate (60% at home), suggests another open encounter.
Millwall travel with significant midfield problems as both Luke Cundle (shoulder) and Massimo Luongo (knee) are unavailable. Even so, the Lions are in strong form: five wins in their last six and an excellent 2.60 PPG on home soil, though their away numbers (1.40 PPG, conceding 2.00 per match) reveal clear defensive vulnerabilities on the road. Derby’s expected goals figures at home (1.30 xG) versus Millwall’s away defensive profile (1.72 xGA) indicate that the hosts should create chances.
With both sides averaging close to 3 goals per match overall, Over 2.5 goals seems like the best betting option for Wednesday's clash, with additional value on BTTS and Home Win (Derby 60% wins at home).
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday 10 December 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Derby vs Millwall prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 1 Millwall
Derby vs Millwall Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Macaulay Langstaff @ 220 Odds
- To be booked: Sondre Langas @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwll | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Away | lwwwl | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.17 | 1.30 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.13 | 1.68 |
Millwall Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Home | wwdww | 2.60 |
| Away | wdllw | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.45 | 1.87 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.24 | 1.72 |
Derby vs Millwall Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (27%)
22 Matches
Millwall (41%)
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