Derby County play host to Oxford United with their playoff hopes still alive despite a recent 2-1 loss to Southampton. As Derby have turned their Pride Park into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Rams have been impressive at home, boasting a perfect 100% win rate across their last four home matches, averaging 2.00 goals scored and conceding just 0.50 per game. Overall, Derby have won 50% of their last 10 matches, with an average of 2.80 total goals per game. Midfielder Bobby Clark is out with injury, but should not be sorely missed.
Oxford, meanwhile, arrive in solid form with 1.60 points per game and a 40% win rate in their last 10 matches. The Yellows average 1.30 goals scored and concede 1.00, with BTTS landing in 60% of matches. However, their away form remains inconsistent, winning just 20% of games and conceding 1.40 goals on average. Head-to-head stats show a fairly balanced rivalry, though Derby hold a slight edge with 3 wins from 7 meetings. Given Derby’s strong home performances and Oxford’s away struggles, the hosts look better positioned.
Given Derby's excellent home form with 100% win rate recently, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, with additional value on Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals (Derby games average 2.80 goals per match).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Derby vs Oxford United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 1 Oxford United
Derby vs Oxford United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Carlton Morris @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Carlton Morris @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Brodie Spencer @ 210 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Derby 0 @ -250 Odds
- European Handicap: Oxford Utd +2 @ -350 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -334 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Derby to Win @ -250 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Derby to Win/Derby to Win @ 210 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Derby - No @ -200 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Derby vs Oxford United?
You can place your bets on Derby vs Oxford United at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwlwwlwl | 1.50 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lllwll | 0.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 17% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.74 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 0.85 | 1.86 |
Oxford United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwwdlddw | 1.60 |
| Home | wwddw | 2.20 |
| Away | dlwld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.38 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.61 | 1.21 | 2.01 |
Derby vs Oxford United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (43%)
7 Matches
Oxford United (29%)
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