Derby County welcome Portsmouth looking to maintain momentum after a productive spell that has delivered three wins from the last five matches. Therefore, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. The Rams average 1.80 goals per game and see BTTS land in 80% of their fixtures, with matches producing 3.10 goals on average. Home form has been less dominant, with a 40% win rate, but Derby have still scored in every league match so far. Defensive numbers remain respectable, conceding 1.30 goals per game, and they continue to perform competitively despite several absentees. Johnston, Morris, Ozoh, and Travis all remain in the recovery room.
Portsmouth head into this contest under pressure, having lost four of their last five matches. Away form has been a major issue, with Pompey losing all four road games, scoring just 0.50 goals per match and conceding 2.75. They have failed to score in 75% of away fixtures, while clean sheets remain elusive. One notable setback is the absence of key defender Josh Knight, whose injury further weakens an already shaky defence.
Given Derby's better form and attacking potential, Home Win betting option should be considered as well as Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, Derby to Score First bet seems interesting.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 20 December 2025 at 15:00.
What is our Derby vs Portsmouth prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 1 Portsmouth
Derby vs Portsmouth Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Carlton Morris @ 200 Odds
- To be booked: Marlon Pack @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlldw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwlld | 1.40 |
| Away | wwwlw | 2.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.22 | 1.04 | 1.40 |
Portsmouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlllw | 0.70 |
| Home | ldwlw | 1.17 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.00 | 2.75 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.72 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.26 | 1.68 |
Derby vs Portsmouth Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (31%)
13 Matches
Portsmouth (15%)
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