Derby County head into the decisive final round with momentum after a 3–2 win over QPR. As Sheffield United have nothing to play for in Saturday's game, we predict a 3-1 home win. The likes of Callum Elder, Tyreece John-Jules Agyemang, Bobby Clark, and Rhian Brewster are all sidelined for the hosts, but despite those absences, Derby’s form remains strong, taking 1.80 points per game from their last 10 matches. Their home record is particularly dominant—four straight wins, 100% win rate, and just 0.25 goals conceded per game—showing defensive solidity alongside an average of 1.50 goals scored.
Sheffield United head into the last game of the season with little motivation, sitting mid-table after a 3–2 defeat to Preston. Their recent numbers are shaky, with only a 20% win rate and 1.70 goals conceded per match. However, they remain dangerous going forward, averaging 1.40 goals and featuring in high-scoring games (3.10 total goals, 80% BTTS). There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
As Derby want this win more than Sheffield United, Home Win should be considered, alongside Derby Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals total (both sides’ matches average above 2.5 goals, suggesting an open game).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 2 May 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Derby vs Sheffield United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 3 - 1 Sheffield United
Derby vs Sheffield United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 3-1 @ 1200 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -163 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -600 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 175 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Carlton Morris @ 140 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Carlton Morris @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 200 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Derby -0.5 @ -130 Odds
- European Handicap: Derby +1 @ -450 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 7.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -400 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Derby to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Derby to Win/Derby to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Derby - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwlwlwlw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwlllw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 1.75 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 0.25 | 1.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.39 | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.55 | 0.80 | 2.05 |
Sheffield United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dldldlwwll | 0.90 |
| Home | dldwll | 0.83 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.83 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 2.17 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.75 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.32 | 1.64 |
Derby vs Sheffield United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (29%)
17 Matches
Sheffield United (59%)
Derby vs Sheffield United Past Results
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