Derby vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips | 04/10/2025

Derby vs Southampton Prediction and Betting Tips | 4 October 2025

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

2 October 2025 • 13:38 UTC • 1 min read

Derby vs Southampton Prediction and Betting Tips 4 October 2025

Pride Park will be the centre of attention when Derby County and Southampton lock horns in the Championship round 9. The Rams are eager to put an end to their three-game winless run and we are positive that they will adopt an attack-oriented strategy against Southampton. All Blackett-Taylor, Brewster, Langas, and Beck are out of contention for the home team.

The Saints, on the other hand, aim to build on a 2-1 win over Sheffield United. The Bramall Lane triumph gave them a confidence boosts, but beating Derby County at Pride Park is easier said than done. Taking everything into account, we believe that punters from all around the globe can find value in betting on draw. A man to keep an eye on in the away team will be Ross Stewart, who scored a brace in the last league match.

This Championship match will be played on Saturday 4 October 2025 at 15:00.

What is our Derby vs Southampton prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 2 Southampton

Derby vs Southampton Betting Tips

Correct Score: 2-2
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
Goalscorer: Adam Armstrong @ 187 Odds
To be booked: Flynn Downes @ 150 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Derby vs Southampton?

You can place your bets on Derby vs Southampton at the following bookmakers:

Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets and £20 Casino Bonus. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

View Offer

Derby Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwldd	1.20
Home	ld	0.50
Away	dwd	1.67

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	2.00	1.50	2.33
Scored	1.00	0.50	1.33
Conceded	1.00	1.00	1.00
BTTS	60%	50%	67%
Clean Sheets	20%	0%	33%
Failed to Score	20%	50%	0%
Expected Goals	0.99	1.33	0.78
Expected Goals Against	1.58	1.23	1.82

Southampton Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dlldw	1.00
Home	dd	1.00
Away	llw	1.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	0%	33%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	1.00	3.33
Scored	1.00	0.50	1.33
Conceded	1.40	0.50	2.00
BTTS	80%	50%	100%
Clean Sheets	20%	50%	0%
Failed to Score	20%	50%	0%
Expected Goals	1.34	1.16	1.46
Expected Goals Against	1.09	0.93	1.20