What is our Derby vs Stoke City prediction?
Derby
2 - 0
Stoke City
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 0 Stoke City
Derby vs Stoke City Preview
Derby County will look to stay in the playoffs race as they welcome Stoke City to Pride Park. As Derby want this win more than Stoke, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Rams are dealing with several absentees, as Salvesen, Sammie Szmodics, Vickers, and Widell Zetterstrom are all sidelined. Despite these issues, Derby have been excellent at home, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 1.80 goals per game while conceding just 0.80.
Stoke City, meanwhile, head into the clash after a 2-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday, but the Potters also have concerns, with forward Lamine Cisse doubtful due to injury. Their away form is a major worry, losing all of their last four matches on the road and scoring just 0.50 goals per game in those fixtures.
Given Derby's strong home form and Stoke’s poor away record, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals) 69% of H2H matches clear this line), and Derby to Score First.
This Championship match will be played on Monday, 6 April 2026 at 15:00.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Mon 6 Apr 2026, 15:00UK time
Derby vs Stoke City Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Derby 2-0 Stoke City | 8/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 2/7 | |
| Draw No Bet: Derby | 4/11 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Derby / Derby | 15/8 | |
| Asian Handicap: Derby -0.5 | 33/40 | |
| European Handicap: Tie - Stoke City +2 | 11/2 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang | 6/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang | 4/1 | |
| To be Booked: Ben Pearson | 6/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: No | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Derby Clean Sheet: Yes | 13/8 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Derby vs Stoke City?
You can place your bets on Derby vs Stoke City at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllwwlwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.10 | 1.85 |
Stoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwlldwlw | 1.10 |
| Home | ldwdww | 1.83 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.17 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.68 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.59 | 1.90 |
Derby vs Stoke City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (31%)
13 Matches
Stoke City (38%)
Derby vs Stoke City Past Results
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