Derby County will look to stay in the playoffs race as they welcome Stoke City to Pride Park. As Derby want this win more than Stoke, we predict a 2-0 home win. The Rams are dealing with several absentees, as Salvesen, Sammie Szmodics, Vickers, and Widell Zetterstrom are all sidelined. Despite these issues, Derby have been excellent at home, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and averaging 1.80 goals per game while conceding just 0.80.
Stoke City, meanwhile, head into the clash after a 2-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday, but the Potters also have concerns, with forward Lamine Cisse doubtful due to injury. Their away form is a major worry, losing all of their last four matches on the road and scoring just 0.50 goals per game in those fixtures.
Given Derby's strong home form and Stoke’s poor away record, we believe that there is big value in betting on Home Win, alongside Over 1.5 goals) 69% of H2H matches clear this line), and Derby to Score First.
This Championship match will be played on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Derby vs Stoke City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 0 Stoke City
Derby vs Stoke City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-0 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 120 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 400 Odds
- To be Booked: Ben Pearson @ 120 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Derby -0.5 @ -122 Odds
- European Handicap: Tie - Stoke City +2 @ 550 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -350 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Derby to Win @ -275 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Derby to Win/Derby to Win @ 187 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Derby - Yes @ 162 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Derby vs Stoke City?
You can place your bets on Derby vs Stoke City at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwllwwlwwl | 1.50 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | lllwl | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.31 | 1.45 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.48 | 1.10 | 1.85 |
Stoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldwlldwlw | 1.10 |
| Home | ldwdww | 1.83 |
| Away | llll | 0.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.67 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 2.17 | 0.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.34 | 1.68 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.72 | 1.59 | 1.90 |
Derby vs Stoke City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (31%)
13 Matches
Stoke City (38%)
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