Derby County host Swansea City to their Pride Park in the Championship round 32, with the Rams looking to bounce back from a 2-1 loss to Ipswich Town. As both sides are likely to adopt an attack-minded approach, a high-scoring 2-2 draw is on the cards. The hosts will be without midfielder Lewis Travis, suspended following his recent red card, which could slightly weaken their midfield. Derby have been inconsistent at home, winning only 20% of their home matches this season, though they average 2.6 goals per home game and have seen BTTS in 80% of home fixtures, suggesting an attacking edge.
The South Wales outfit, on the other hand, travel to Derbyshire following a 4-0 demolition of Sheffield Wednesday, carrying solid confidence. The Swans boast an overall 50% win rate this season, scoring 2.5 goals per game on average, while keeping 40% clean sheets. Away form is less convincing, but their balanced attack and defense make them a serious threat. There are no fresh injury worries in the visiting team.
This tie promises competitive action, with goals likely from both sides given Derby’s home scoring tendencies and Swansea’s efficient attack. Therefore, we believe that there is big value in betting on Over 2.5 goals, alongside BTTS and BTTS to Score First Half (small stake).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Derby vs Swansea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 2 Swansea
Derby vs Swansea Betting Tips
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Over 3.5 Goals @ 300 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 550 Odds
- To be Booked: Melker Widell @ 220 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Swansea +0.5 @ -191 Odds
- European Handicap: Swansea +1 @ -188 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -188 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Derby to Win @ -188 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Derby - No @ -250 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Derby vs Swansea?
You can place your bets on Derby vs Swansea at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wlldl | 0.80 |
| Away | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.18 | 1.01 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.58 | 1.71 | 1.44 |
Swansea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlww | 1.70 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | lwllw | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.62 | 1.80 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.66 |
Derby vs Swansea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (29%)
17 Matches
Swansea (35%)
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