Derby County will be aiming to make home advantage count as they search for their first Championship win of the season. The Rams suffered a 2-1 defeat to Charlton before playing out an entertaining 2-2 draw with Cardiff, leaving them with just one point from their opening two games. Their recent home numbers are mixed, with Derby averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game across their last six matches at Pride Park. Agyemang and Murkin are injured, while Clarke and Szmodics remain doubtful.
Swansea City, meanwhile, arrive after a frustrating goalless draw with Sheffield United. The Welsh side struggled to create chances in that match, registering only 0.57 xG and one shot on target. However, their overall recent form is encouraging, with Swansea collecting 1.8 points per game across their last 10 matches and winning 67% of their recent away games. They have also conceded just 0.9 goals per game during that period. Burgess and Franco are both sidelined with injuries.
As Swansea have the stronger recent record and have lost only once in their last 10, Swansea or Draw is our main betting tip for this one, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (Swansea's last 10 matches average just 2.2 goals, while only two of the last 18 H2Hs produced four or more).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:30.
What is our Derby vs Swansea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 1 - 1 Swansea
Derby vs Swansea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -120 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1200 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -138 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 150 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Patrick Agyemang @ 450 Odds
- To be Booked: Melker Widell @ 250 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Swansea +0.5 @ -160 Odds
- European Handicap: Swansea +1 @ -163 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -163 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Derby to Win @ -163 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Derby - No @ -250 Odds
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwlwlllld | 1.00 |
| Home | wwllld | 1.17 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.67 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.52 | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.64 | 1.38 | 1.96 |
Swansea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwdlwwlwd | 1.80 |
| Home | wdlwwld | 1.57 |
| Away | wdw | 2.33 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 43% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.20 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.14 | 1.67 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 29% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 43% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 43% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.18 | 1.07 | 1.43 |
Derby vs Swansea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (33%)
18 Matches
Swansea (33%)
Derby vs Swansea Past Results
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