Derby County will look to build on their 2–1 win over Charlton, but they face this match without defender Matt Clarke, who is suspended, while both Johnston and Morris remain sidelined. Anyhow, we predict a 2-1 home win as WBA struggled in their last league match. Despite recent inconsistency, The Rams have taken 1.50 points per game overall, with their attack reliable—0% failed to score and an average of 1.30 goals per match. At home, however, they have been less convincing, earning just 1.00 PPG and keeping only 20% clean sheets. Their defensive metrics—1.49 xGA at home—suggest they may struggle to contain pressure.
West Brom, meanwhile, are low on spirits after a heavy 5–0 defeat to Norwich, a result that will surely force Eric Ramsey to rotate. The Baggies have major problems away from home: 0.20 PPG, no away wins, and only 1.00 goal scored per match. Defensive issues persist too, conceding 1.80 goals on the road. Still, their xG data (1.58 xG away) shows they create enough chances but lack efficiency.
Historically, Derby dominate this fixture with 8 wins in 14 meetings, and current form points towards the hosts having the edge once again. Considering Derby's stronger form and better H2H record, we predict Home Win, alongside BTTS (64% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (50%).
This Championship match will be played on Friday 23 January 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Derby vs West Bromwich prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 1 West Bromwich
Derby vs West Bromwich Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Aune Heggebo @ 225 Odds
- To be booked: Sondre Langas @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllww | 1.50 |
| Home | ddwll | 1.00 |
| Away | wdlww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.43 | 1.49 | 1.38 |
West Bromwich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lldll | 0.70 |
| Home | wlwll | 1.20 |
| Away | lllld | 0.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 2.00 | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.04 | 1.39 |
Derby vs West Bromwich Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (57%)
14 Matches
West Bromwich (14%)
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