What is our Cagliari vs Napoli prediction?
Cagliari
1 - 2
Napoli
Our prediction for this match: Cagliari 1 - 2 Napoli
Cagliari vs Napoli Preview
Cagliari face Napoli in a Serie A game where Napoli aim to consolidate their Champions League position. With key players returning for the Partenopei, we predict a 2-1 away win. The Rossonlu are relatively safe in the table, six points above the relegation zone, but will miss defender Adam Obert, who is suspended after a red card. Their home form is decent: 1.40 points per game, winning 40% of home matches, scoring 1.20 goals per game and conceding just 0.80. Expected goals at home sit at 0.96, indicating that Cagliari rely on defensive stability and opportunistic attacking.
Napoli return with a near-full squad. Anguissa and De Bruyne are back from injury, and Politano has recovered from a minor knock. Napoli boast strong form: 1.70 points per game overall, scoring 3.40 goals per game, and conceding 1.70, with BTTS at 90%, reflecting their attacking style. Expected goals are 1.37 overall, showing efficient chance creation. As before, former Man Utd striker Rasmus Hojlund will lead the line for the reigning champions.
Given Napooli's dominant H2H record and superior squad depth, our prediction firmly points toward Away Win, with additional value on Over 1.5 (75% H2H) and Over 2.5 goals (50%).
This Serie A match will be played on Friday, 20 March 2026 at 17:30.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Fri 20 Mar, 17:30UK time
Cagliari vs Napoli Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Correct ScoreCagliari 1-2 Napoli | 800 | |
| Double Chance12 | -334 | |
| Draw No BetNapoli | -400 | |
| Half Time/Full TimeNapoli / Napoli | 175 | |
| Asian HandicapNapoli -0.5 | -138 | |
| European HandicapCagliari +2 | -300 | |
| Both Teams to ScoreYes | 125 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals | -200 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals | 150 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals | -600 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals | -2000 | |
| Clean SheetNapoli: No | -125 | |
| Anytime GoalscorerRomelu Lukaku | 150 | |
| First GoalscorerRomelu Lukaku | 400 | |
| To be BookedAlessandro Deiola | 162 | |
| Total Corners6 - 8 | 160 |
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View OfferCagliari Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwllddll | 1.10 |
| Home | wwldl | 1.40 |
| Away | lwldl | 0.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.00 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.06 | 0.96 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.42 | 1.57 |
Napoli Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | llwwddlwww | 1.70 |
| Home | lwddww | 1.83 |
| Away | lwlw | 1.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.33 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 90% | 100% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.37 | 1.49 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.21 | 1.13 | 1.35 |
Cagliari vs Napoli Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Cagliari (6%)
32 Matches
Napoli (63%)
Cagliari vs Napoli Past Results
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