Derby and Wrexham face each other in what looks like a finely balanced clash between two sides in decent form, each coming off confidence-boosting wins. Therefore, we predict a 2-2 draw. The Rams are high on confidence following a 1–0 victory over Middlesbrough, a result achieved despite several absentees. Beck, Johnston, Morris and Ozoh remain sidelined, but their absence did not prevent Derby from delivering a disciplined performance. Overall, Derby have been competitive rather than dominant, averaging 1.20 points per game, with home form slightly underwhelming (1.00 PPG). What stands out is how open their matches tend to be: Derby games average 2.80 total goals, with BTTS landing in 80% of fixtures, and they have scored in every league match so far.
The Dragons, on the other hand, head into Sunday's fixture in strong spirits after a 2–0 win over Blackburn. The Dragons have no new injury concerns, although Brunt, James, Hardie, Lee and Ward remain unavailable. Phil Parkinson’s side have been particularly impressive at home, but away from home they are less convincing (1.00 PPG, 0.80 goals scored per away game). Still, their overall momentum is positive, with three wins in the last five matches. Defensively, Wrexham are relatively solid on their travels (1.00 goals conceded away), but their xGA of 2.03 away from home hints that results may be outperforming underlying numbers.
Taking everything into account, Both Teams to Score market boast big value (Derby 80% BTTS; consistent scoring on both sides), alongside Over 1.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals (both teams average 2.80 total goals per game).
This Championship match will be played on Sunday 4 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Derby vs Wrexham prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Derby 2 - 2 Wrexham
Derby vs Wrexham Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-2
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Lars-Jorgen Salvesen @ 240 Odds
- To be booked: James McClean @ 137 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 9.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferDerby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wddlw | 1.20 |
| Home | llddw | 1.00 |
| Away | wlwdl | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.38 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 1.22 | 1.58 |
Wrexham Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwww | 1.60 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | ddllw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.80 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.20 | 1.64 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.71 | 1.39 | 2.03 |
Derby vs Wrexham Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Derby (0%)
1 Matches
Wrexham (0%)
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