Hull City vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips | 24/02/2026

Hull City vs Derby Prediction and Betting Tips | 24 February 2026

Bojan Jovanovic • Football expert

23 February 2026 • 16:25 UTC • 1 min read

Hull City vs Derby Prediction and Betting Tips 24 February 2026

Hull City return home looking to recover from their 3–1 defeat to QPR, a match in which Japan forward Yu Hirakawa picked up a knock and remains doubtful. As both sides seem to struggle up front, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Tigers have struggled badly at home this season, collecting just 0.71 points per game and winning only 14% of their matches at the MKM Stadium. Their scoring output also drops significantly at home—only 0.71 goals per game, compared to 2.00 away. Defensively, they concede 1.71 at home, which explains their current run of three straight home defeats. No other fresh injury problems, but confidence is fragile.

Derby County, meanwhile, head into the match after a 2–0 loss to Watford, yet their away form remains a major strength. The Rams average 2.25 points per game on the road, winning 75% of their away fixtures and scoring 2.00 goals per match. Their defensive numbers also impress—just 0.50 goals conceded on average. However, they remain without Johnston, Langas, and Widell Zetterstrom, all of whom miss out again.

As Derby defend well and Hull score just 0.71 at home, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.

This Championship match will be played on Tuesday 24 February 2026 at 19:45.

What is our Hull City vs Derby prediction?

Our prediction for this match: Hull City 1 - 1 Derby

Hull City vs Derby Betting Tips

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 500 Odds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1000 Odds
Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
Anytime Goalscorer: Kyle Joseph @ 200 Odds
First Goalscorer: Kyle Joseph @ 600 Odds
To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 162 Odds
Asian Handicap: Derby +0.5 @ -191 Odds
European Handicap: Derby +1 @ -200 Odds
Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
Double Chance: X2 @ -200 Odds
Draw No Bet: Hull to Win @ -150 Odds
Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 400 Odds
Clean Sheet: Hull - No @ -300 Odds

Where Can You Place Bets on Hull City vs Derby?

You can place your bets on Hull City vs Derby at the following bookmakers:

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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+

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Hull City Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	wdlll	1.40
Home	wdlll	0.71
Away	www	3.00

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	14%	100%
Average Goals Per Game	2.40	2.43	2.33
Scored	1.10	0.71	2.00
Conceded	1.30	1.71	0.33
BTTS	40%	43%	33%
Clean Sheets	40%	29%	67%
Failed to Score	40%	57%	0%
Expected Goals	1.38	1.31	1.54
Expected Goals Against	1.59	1.48	1.85

Derby Team Form and Stats

Form	Results	Points Per Game
Overall	dwlwl	1.60
Home	lldlw	1.17
Away	wwwl	2.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	50%	33%	75%
Average Goals Per Game	2.50	2.50	2.50
Scored	1.50	1.17	2.00
Conceded	1.00	1.33	0.50
BTTS	50%	67%	25%
Clean Sheets	40%	33%	50%
Failed to Score	10%	0%	25%
Expected Goals	1.16	1.04	1.35
Expected Goals Against	1.36	1.65	0.94