What is our Hull City vs Derby prediction?
Hull City
1 - 1
Derby
Our prediction for this match: Hull City 1 - 1 Derby
Hull City vs Derby Preview
Hull City return home looking to recover from their 3–1 defeat to QPR, a match in which Japan forward Yu Hirakawa picked up a knock and remains doubtful. As both sides seem to struggle up front, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Tigers have struggled badly at home this season, collecting just 0.71 points per game and winning only 14% of their matches at the MKM Stadium. Their scoring output also drops significantly at home—only 0.71 goals per game, compared to 2.00 away. Defensively, they concede 1.71 at home, which explains their current run of three straight home defeats. No other fresh injury problems, but confidence is fragile.
Derby County, meanwhile, head into the match after a 2–0 loss to Watford, yet their away form remains a major strength. The Rams average 2.25 points per game on the road, winning 75% of their away fixtures and scoring 2.00 goals per match. Their defensive numbers also impress—just 0.50 goals conceded on average. However, they remain without Johnston, Langas, and Widell Zetterstrom, all of whom miss out again.
As Derby defend well and Hull score just 0.71 at home, we are tempted to place our bets on Under 2.5 goals, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday, 24 February 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Tue 24 Feb 2026, 19:45UK time
Hull City vs Derby Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Hull City 1-1 Derby | 5/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 1/2 | |
| Draw No Bet: Hull | 4/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 4/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Derby +0.5 | 21/40 | |
| European Handicap: Derby +1 | 1/2 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Kyle Joseph | 2/1 | |
| First Goalscorer: Kyle Joseph | 6/1 | |
| To be Booked: Sondre Langas | 13/8 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Hull Clean Sheet: No | 1/3 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferHull City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldwwwwdlll | 1.40 |
| Home | ldwdlll | 0.71 |
| Away | www | 3.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 14% | 100% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.43 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.10 | 0.71 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.71 | 0.33 |
| BTTS | 40% | 43% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 29% | 67% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 57% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.48 | 1.85 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wllwwdwlwl | 1.60 |
| Home | wlldlw | 1.17 |
| Away | wwwl | 2.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 75% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.16 | 1.04 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 1.65 | 0.94 |
Hull City vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Hull City (32%)
22 Matches
Derby (59%)
Hull City vs Derby Past Results
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