Hull City are eager to claim a major scalp in their last game of the year, but with Middlesbrough being a real force to be reckoned with at home, our prediction points toward a 2-1 home win. Middlesbrough return to action after a 0-0 Boxing Day draw with Blackburn, a match that cost them physically as Alfie Jones, George Edmundson and Matt Targett all picked up knocks and are now doubtful. Before that draw, Boro had won three straight, and their 2.00 PPG at home reflects a strong Riverside record. Kim Hellberg's troops continue to play proactive football, scoring in 80% of league matches and posting a healthy 1.55 home expected goals, though defensive lapses remain an issue with only 20% home clean sheets.
Hull City, meanwhile, head into Monday's fixture following an entertaining 2-2 draw with Sheffield Wednesday, but the injury to Mohamed Belloumi is a big blow. Despite that, the Tigers have shown resilience, taking 10 points from their last five and looking dangerous away from home, scoring 2.00 goals per away match. Defensive inconsistency on the road (0% clean sheets) continues to hold them back, but their attacking threat ensures they remain competitive in high-tempo games.
Historically, Middlesbrough hold the edge in this matchup with 14 wins from 28 and given Hull City's defensive struggles on the road, Home Win is our main betting tip for this matchup. Additionally, Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals should be considered as both sides average 3.0+ goals per game.
This Championship match will be played on Monday 29 December 2025 at 19:45.
What is our Middlesbrough vs Hull City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Hull City
Middlesbrough vs Hull City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Tommy Conway @ 125 Odds
- To be booked: Matt Crooks @ 175 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
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View OfferMiddlesbrough Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwld | 1.80 |
| Home | wlwwd | 2.00 |
| Away | ddwwl | 1.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.69 | 1.55 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.23 | 1.49 | 0.96 |
Hull City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwwd | 1.60 |
| Home | wllww | 1.80 |
| Away | llwwd | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 40% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.29 | 1.61 |
Middlesbrough vs Hull City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Middlesbrough (50%)
28 Matches
Hull City (36%)
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