What is our Millwall vs Birmingham City prediction?
Millwall
1 - 1
Birmingham City
Our prediction for this match: Millwall 1 - 1 Birmingham City
Millwall vs Birmingham City Preview
Millwall return to The Den aiming to bounce back from a disappointing 3-1 defeat to Portsmouth, but with Birmingham City finding their form of late, we predict a 1-1 draw. The Lions' overall form remains strong, taking 1.80 points per game and staying unbeaten at home this season (2.00 PPG, 50% clean sheets, only 0.50 goals conceded per home match). Their xG data also supports solid play, producing 1.74 xG at home while allowing just 1.06 xGA. Injuries remain a concern, though, with Bryan, Jensen, Kelly, Luongo and Smallbone all sidelined.
Birmingham City travel to London in excellent form, earning 2.20 PPG overall and an impressive 2.60 PPG away, scoring 2.00 goals per away game. The Blues also remain unbeaten in their last five league matches. Birmingham’s xG profile is steady (1.39 xG away), and defensively they concede only 0.80 goals on their travels. Forward August Priske is a major doubt, but he is not a regular starter, meaning team structure should remain intact.
H2H history is balanced, with Birmingham edging it (9 wins to Millwall's 7), suggesting another tight contest. As both sides score in 50–70% ranges recently with attacks in good form, we believe that there is big value in betting on Both Teams to Score, alongside Half-Time Draw and Draw.
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday, 25 February 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Wed 25 Feb 2026, 19:45UK time
Millwall vs Birmingham City Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City | 5/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 1/2 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 4/1 | |
| Asian Handicap: Millwall +0.5 | 17/40 | |
| European Handicap: Birmingham +1 | 1/2 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: August Priske | 15/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: August Priske | 11/2 | |
| To be Booked: Christoph Klarer | 13/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/10 | |
| Millwall Clean Sheet: No | 4/11 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferMillwall Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwlwlwdwwd | 1.80 |
| Home | wwdd | 2.00 |
| Away | dlwlww | 1.67 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.33 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 25% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.54 | 1.74 | 1.40 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.06 | 1.41 |
Birmingham City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwdwwddw | 2.20 |
| Home | wdwdd | 1.80 |
| Away | wdwww | 2.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.70 | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| BTTS | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.58 | 1.77 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.39 | 1.28 | 1.50 |
Millwall vs Birmingham City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Millwall (29%)
24 Matches
Birmingham City (38%)
Millwall vs Birmingham City Past Results
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