What is our Millwall vs Derby prediction?
Millwall
2 - 1
Derby
Our prediction for this match: Millwall 2 - 1 Derby
Millwall vs Derby Preview
Millwall aim to continue their impressive wining run when they host Derby County at The Den. As Millwall have turned their stadium into a real fortress, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Lions have won four of their last five (2.20 PPG) and come into this clash after a convincing 3-1 victory at Hull, where substitutes made an impact—particularly Mihailo Ivanovic, who is pushing for a starting role. Millwall’s improvement in both phases is clear: the capital club score 2.10 goals per game while conceding just 0.80, and their home numbers remain solid with 1.75 PPG and 50% clean sheets.
Derby County travel to London in good form after a 2-1 win over Sheffield Wednesday, despite missing several key players including Batth, Langas, Salvesen, and Thompson. The Rams' attack has been productive, scoring 1.90 goals per match, and their away numbers are competitive (1.80 PPG). However, defensive inconsistency on the road (1.40 conceded) remains a concern against a Millwall side creating 1.63 xG at home.
Given Millwall's strong home form and defensive stability, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and Millwall Over 1.5 goals.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday, 10 March 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Tue 10 Mar 2026, 19:45UK time
Millwall vs Derby Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Millwall 2-1 Derby | 8/1 | |
| Double Chance: 12 | 3/10 | |
| Draw No Bet: Millwall | 4/9 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Millwall / Millwall | 9/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Millwall 0 | 19/40 | |
| European Handicap: Millwall +1 | 2/7 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Macaulay Langstaff | 8/5 | |
| First Goalscorer: Macaulay Langstaff | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Sondre Langas | 15/8 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 8/11 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/3 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Millwall Clean Sheet: No | 2/5 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Millwall vs Derby?
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferMillwall Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdwwlwww | 2.20 |
| Home | wdlw | 1.75 |
| Away | wlwwww | 2.50 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 2.10 | 2.25 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.48 | 1.63 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.10 | 1.47 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwdwlwllww | 1.90 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | wwwll | 1.80 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.90 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.38 | 1.21 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.29 |
Millwall vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Millwall (39%)
23 Matches
Derby (26%)
Millwall vs Derby Past Results
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