Norwich City and Derby County meet in a key Championship clash with both sides still chasing playoff ambitions in the season finale. Given Norwich's excellent home record, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Canaries head into this match on the back of an entertaining 4-2 win over Bristol City, showing their attacking strength with 1.90 points per game across their last 10 matches. The hosts average 1.40 goals scored per game and remain dangerous at home, where they collect 1.75 points per match despite a lengthy injury list.
Derby, meanwhile, are just three points outside the playoff spots after a narrow 1-0 win over Oxford. Their overall form is strong at 1.80 points per game, and the Rams have been especially dominant at home, though their away form drops sharply to 0.60 points per game. Injuries to Elder and Agyemang slightly weaken their defensive and attacking depth. Historically, this is a tight fixture, with Derby holding a slight edge and 71% of meetings seeing both teams score.
Betting Tips:
Given Norwich's strong home form advantage and attacking potential, our prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside BTTS (71% H2H), and Norwich Over 1.5 goals.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Norwich vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Norwich 2 - 1 Derby
Norwich vs Derby Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -800 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -275 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ -111 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -350 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Mohamed Toure @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Mohamed Toure @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Norwich 0 @ -167 Odds
- European Handicap: Norwich +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: 1X @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Norwich to Win @ -175 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Norwich to Win/Norwich to Win @ 250 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Norwich - No @ -300 Odds
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View OfferNorwich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwlwdwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwdl | 1.75 |
| Away | wllwww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.43 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.04 | 1.27 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwwlwlw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.68 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 0.88 | 1.84 |
Norwich vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Norwich (29%)
17 Matches
Derby (41%)
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