What is our Norwich vs Derby prediction?
Norwich
2 - 1
Derby
Our prediction for this match: Norwich 2 - 1 Derby
Norwich vs Derby Preview
Norwich City and Derby County meet in a key Championship clash with both sides still chasing playoff ambitions in the season finale. Given Norwich's excellent home record, we predict a 2-1 home win. The Canaries head into this match on the back of an entertaining 4-2 win over Bristol City, showing their attacking strength with 1.90 points per game across their last 10 matches. The hosts average 1.40 goals scored per game and remain dangerous at home, where they collect 1.75 points per match despite a lengthy injury list.
Derby, meanwhile, are just three points outside the playoff spots after a narrow 1-0 win over Oxford. Their overall form is strong at 1.80 points per game, and the Rams have been especially dominant at home, though their away form drops sharply to 0.60 points per game. Injuries to Elder and Agyemang slightly weaken their defensive and attacking depth. Historically, this is a tight fixture, with Derby holding a slight edge and 71% of meetings seeing both teams score.
Betting Tips:
Given Norwich's strong home form advantage and attacking potential, our prediction leans toward Home Win, alongside BTTS (71% H2H), and Norwich Over 1.5 goals.
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday, 21 April 2026 at 19:45.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Tue 21 Apr 2026, 19:45UK time
Norwich vs Derby Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Norwich 2-1 Derby | 8/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 4/11 | |
| Draw No Bet: Norwich | 4/7 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Norwich / Norwich | 5/2 | |
| Asian Handicap: Norwich 0 | 3/5 | |
| European Handicap: Norwich +1 | 4/11 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Mohamed Toure | 15/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Mohamed Toure | 6/1 | |
| To be Booked: Sondre Langas | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 2/7 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 10/11 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/8 | |
| Norwich Clean Sheet: No | 1/3 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferNorwich Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwwlwdwlw | 1.90 |
| Home | wwdl | 1.75 |
| Away | wllwww | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.50 | 2.25 | 2.67 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Expected Goals | 1.56 | 1.43 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.17 | 1.04 | 1.27 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwwlwwlwlw | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | llwll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| Scored | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Conceded | 1.20 | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.47 | 1.68 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.36 | 0.88 | 1.84 |
Norwich vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Norwich (29%)
17 Matches
Derby (41%)
Norwich vs Derby Past Results
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