Portsmouth will be eager to bounce back from a 2-1 defeat to Bristol City when they take on Derby County in Championship round four. The Pompey have been inconsistent but have lost only three of their last 10 matches, while their home record is solid, with a 50% win rate during that period. Portsmouth have also scored in nine of their last 10 games, although their long injury list remains a concern. Umeh, Waddingham, Murphy, Anderson, Bursik and Ogilvie are all sidelined. Forward Marezi is pushing for a start after scoring as a substitute against Bristol City.
Derby, meanwhile, have endured a dreadful start to the campaign and were comfortably beaten 3-0 by Swansea at the weekend. The Rams have won just two of their last 10 matches, conceding an average of 1.90 goals per game. Their away defensive record is even more worrying, with 1.96 xGA per game. Patrick Agymang, Matt Clarke, Carlota Morris and Derry Murkin remain unavailable. The H2H record has produced plenty of goals, with BTTS landing in 11 of the previous 15 meetings.
As the Pompey are in considerably better form than Derby, we are tempted to bet on Home Win. Additionally, BTTS and Over 2.5 goals bets are worth considering (Eight of the previous 15 encounters produced at least three goals).
This Championship match will be played on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45.
What is our Portsmouth vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Portsmouth 2 - 1 Derby
Portsmouth vs Derby Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1 @ 800 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -334 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Marko Milovanovic @ 162 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Marko Milovanovic @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 150 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Portsmouth 0 @ -200 Odds
- European Handicap: Derby +2 @ -400 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 162 Odds
- Double Chance: 12 @ -300 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Portsmouth to Win @ -225 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Portsmouth to Win/Portsmouth to Win @ 225 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Portsmouth - No @ -225 Odds
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View OfferPortsmouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwddllwl | 1.40 |
| Home | wwdl | 1.75 |
| Away | lwdlwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 2.25 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% | 83% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.50 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.41 | 1.47 | 1.37 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwlllldl | 0.70 |
| Home | wllldl | 0.67 |
| Away | llwl | 0.75 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.83 | 3.50 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| BTTS | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.40 | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.83 | 1.73 | 1.96 |
Portsmouth vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Portsmouth (13%)
15 Matches
Derby (33%)
Portsmouth vs Derby Past Results
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