What is our Portsmouth vs Derby prediction?
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Derby
Our prediction for this match: Portsmouth 1 - 1 Derby
Portsmouth vs Derby Preview
Portsmouth and Derby County go head to head at Fratton Park in what promises to be a close Championship encounter, with 1-1 our predicted outcome. Portsmouth’s squad struggles with injuries, which showed in their 2-1 loss to Swansea, and they will be without key contributors. The home side have managed just a 20% win rate at Fratton Park, scoring an average of 1.0 goal per home game while conceding the same. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their home matches, and clean sheets are rare at 20%.
Derby County travel with slightly better form, winning two of their last three away games despite a 1-0 loss at Millwall. The Rams score 1.8 goals per match on average, conceding 1.6 in away fixtures. H2H history favors high-scoring encounters, with 93% of clashes seeing over 1.5 goals and 79% featuring both teams on the scoresheet. First-choice goalkeeper Josh Vickers out of contention for Derby after picking up a knock in a 1-0 loss to Millwall, which definitely supports our betting angle.
As recent form and H2H suggest goals, Over 1.5 goals is our main betting tip, alongside Both Teams to Score and Over 9.5 corners.
This Championship match will be played on Monday, 16 March 2026 at 20:00.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Mon 16 Mar 2026, 20:00UK time
Portsmouth vs Derby Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Portsmouth 1-1 Derby | 5/1 | |
| Double Chance: X2 | 4/6 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Draw / Draw | 15/4 | |
| Asian Handicap: Derby +0.5 | 27/40 | |
| European Handicap: Derby +1 | 4/6 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Colby Bishop | 15/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Colby Bishop | 11/2 | |
| To be Booked: Sondre Langas | 8/5 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 5/6 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 4/11 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals | 4/6 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 1/4 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/12 | |
| Portsmouth Clean Sheet: No | 4/9 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
Where Can You Place Bets on Portsmouth vs Derby?
You can place your bets on Portsmouth vs Derby at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferPortsmouth Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dwllwwlldl | 1.10 |
| Home | dwlll | 0.80 |
| Away | lwwld | 1.40 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.66 | 1.87 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 0.94 | 0.74 | 1.13 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wdwlwllwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | dlwww | 2.00 |
| Away | wwlll | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 60% | 80% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.21 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.32 | 1.27 | 1.37 |
Portsmouth vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Portsmouth (14%)
14 Matches
Derby (29%)
Portsmouth vs Derby Past Results
Our Visitors Prediction
Now Trending Football Predictions
Turkey
Belgium
Armenia
Cyprus
Montenegro
Latvia
San Marino
Belarus
Czech Republic
Spain
England
Croatia
