Preston North End host Derby County to their Deepdale in a Championship clash that could prove pivotal for both sides. With the Rams suffering a dip in form, our prediction points toward a 1-0 home win. Preston head into Saturday's game with 1.60 points per game from recent outings, enjoying better form on the road (2.00 PPG) than at home. The Lilywhites have been fairly solid defensively, conceding just 0.90 goals per game overall, while scoring 1.40 per match. Long-term absentee Robbie Brady remains sidelined but should not significantly impact the team. Home form is less convincing, with Preston managing just 1.20 PPG, highlighting some inconsistency.
The Rams, meanwhile, have struggled recently, averaging 0.90 points per game, with their away form slightly better (1.00 PPG) than at home. They’ve scored 1.20 goals per match and conceded 1.50, showing vulnerability at the back. Historically, Preston hold a slight edge, winning 5 of the last 24 H2H matches, though most meetings have been tight, with only 29% seeing both teams score. There are no fresh injury worries for Derby County following the FA Cup loss to Leeds United.
Given Preston's fine form and solid defence, Home Win should be considered, with additional value on Under 2.5 goals (tight historical H2H) and Preston to Win to Nil.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 17 January 2026 at 15:00.
What is our Preston vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Preston 1 - 0 Derby
Preston vs Derby Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-0
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): No
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals
- Anytime Goalscorer: Michael Smith @ 187 Odds
- To be booked: Sondre Langas @ 210 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferPreston Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwwl | 1.60 |
| Home | dddwl | 1.20 |
| Away | wwdlw | 2.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.30 | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Conceded | 0.90 | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.37 | 1.18 | 1.56 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | dlwll | 0.90 |
| Home | ddwll | 0.83 |
| Away | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 2.67 | 2.75 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.22 | 1.38 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.49 | 1.39 | 1.63 |
Preston vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Preston (21%)
24 Matches
Derby (50%)
Tottenham
Man City
Parma
Juventus
