QPR and Derby take on each other is a Championship clash with contrasting motivations, as the hosts sit safely mid-table while Derby continue their push for a playoff spot. As the Rams want this win more, we predict a 1-0 away triumph. The Hoops head into this game after a 2-1 defeat to Swansea, extending a mixed run where they average 1.10 points per game. The capital club struggle for clean sheets (10%) and have failed to score in half their matches. Kwame Poku is unlikely to feature after picking up a knock, which could reduce their attacking creativity.
Derby, on the other hand, travel to London in stronger overall form, with the team averaging 1.80 points per game and showing real promotion intent. The Rams are particularly strong at home (3.00 PPG), but away form is much weaker (0.60 PPG), scoring just 1.00 goal per match on the road. Defensively they are solid overall (1.00 conceded), though they do concede more away (1.60). They lost 2-1 to Norwich last time out, and defender Derry Murkin is doubtful, which could slightly affect stability at the back.
Considering Derby's much stronger form (1.80 PPG) and higher motivation, we believe that there is big value in betting on Away Win, alongside Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals (Derby away games are often tighter, and QPR lack consistent attacking output).
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 15:00.
What is our QPR vs Derby prediction?
Our prediction for this match: QPR 0 - 1 Derby
QPR vs Derby Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 0-1 @ 750 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): No @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -900 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -300 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Under 1.5 Goals @ 250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Carlton Morris @ 200 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Carlton Morris @ 600 Odds
- To be Booked: Sondre Langas @ 162 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Derby 0 @ -149 Odds
- European Handicap: Derby +1 @ -275 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Under 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 2.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -275 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Derby to Win @ -150 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: Derby to Win/Derby to Win @ 275 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Derby - Yes @ 225 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on QPR vs Derby?
You can place your bets on QPR vs Derby at the following bookmakers:
Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. Registration required. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £10 debit card deposit. Place a £10+ bet at Evens or greater (2.0) each leg on Sports within 7 days. Opt in for £20 in free bets. Valid for 7 days. Geographical restrictions and T&C’s apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+. New customers using Promo code TOP30 only, Min £10/€10/$10 stake, min odds 1.5, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15/$15, free bets credited after settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after the qualifying bet is settled, payment method/player/country restrictions apply. See full terms below. Play responsibly. Gamblingtherapy.org #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4 x £/€5 free bets (selected sportsbook markets only, valid 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View Offer
18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferQPR Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllwwwddll | 1.10 |
| Home | llwwdl | 1.17 |
| Away | lwdl | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.80 | 3.17 | 2.25 |
| Scored | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.50 | 1.67 | 1.25 |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.59 | 1.70 | 1.42 |
Derby Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlwwlwlwl | 1.80 |
| Home | wwwww | 3.00 |
| Away | lwlll | 0.60 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.40 | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| BTTS | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.43 | 1.68 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 0.88 | 1.93 |
QPR vs Derby Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
QPR (38%)
26 Matches
Derby (38%)
Bayern Munich
PSG
Strasbourg
Rayo Vallecano
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Freiburg
Braga
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Chelsea
