Southampton welcome Birmingham City to St Mary’s in excellent form, having won four of their last five league matches. Therefore, we are tempted to place our bets on a 2-1 home win. The Saints average 1.80 goals per game and concede just 0.75 at home, showing a strong balance in both phases of play. Despite still missing Charles, Edozie, Jelert, Stewart, and Roerslev Rasmussen, these absences have not affected performance levels in recent victories.
Birmingham, meanwhile, head into Saturday's clash with a respectable 1.50 points-per-game average but remain inconsistent away from home, scoring just 0.80 goals per match. Lee Buchanan’s ongoing injury continues to be a major setback for the Blues, especially given his importance defensively. The visitors’ away record of just 20% wins and a tendency to concede (1.00 per away game) makes this a difficult trip. With both teams involved in high-scoring matches—Southampton see BTTS in 70% overall and Birmingham in 60%—a lively encounter is expected.
Given Southampton's fine form and better home numbers, Home Win is our best choice for this encounter. Additionally, Over 2.5 goals and BTTS markets are worth considering as both sides average over 3.00 total goals per game this season.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 6 December 2025 at 15:00.
What is our Southampton vs Birmingham City prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Southampton 2 - 1 Birmingham City
Southampton vs Birmingham City Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Adam Armstrong @ 150 Odds
- To be booked: Eiran Cashin @ 187 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferSouthampton Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwwwl | 1.40 |
| Home | dlww | 1.75 |
| Away | llwwl | 1.17 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.20 | 2.25 | 3.83 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Conceded | 1.40 | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| BTTS | 70% | 25% | 100% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Expected Goals | 1.68 | 1.81 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.40 | 0.98 | 1.67 |
Birmingham City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wlwdw | 1.70 |
| Home | lwwww | 2.40 |
| Away | dwlld | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.00 | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 2.00 | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.60 | 1.94 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.24 | 1.19 | 1.28 |
Southampton vs Birmingham City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Southampton (43%)
7 Matches
Birmingham City (43%)
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