A struggling Stoke City side are desperate to get back on course, entering this match winless in eight Championship outings. With Oxford United struggling up front, a low-scoring 1-1 draw is on the cards at Bet365 Stadium. The Potters' lengthy injury list has clearly taken a toll, reflected in just 0.83 points per game at home and a low scoring average of 0.83 goals per home match. Stoke’s xG numbers also underline their problems in attack, producing only 1.22 xG at home, while conceding 1.33 goals on average. Clean sheets have been a rare positive (33%), but their lack of creativity remains the main concern.
Oxford United are also battling inconsistency, but their 1–1 draw away to Middlesbrough showed improved resilience. The Yellows remain more competitive on the road, collecting 1.20 points per away game, while conceding just 1.00 away goal on average. However, their attacking output is modest, scoring 0.80 goals per away match with an away xG of 0.95. Injuries to Goodrham and ter Avest limit their options, but they tend to stay compact defensively.
Considering that both teams average under 1 goal scored per match recently, we believe that there is big value in betting on Under 2.5 goals. Additionally, Half-Time Draw and Draw bets seem tempting.
This Championship match will be played on Wednesday 25 February 2026 at 20:00.
What is our Stoke City vs Oxford United prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stoke City 1 - 1 Oxford United
Stoke City vs Oxford United Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 1-1 @ 550 Odds
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes @ 100 Odds
- Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals @ -1400 Odds
- Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals @ -450 Odds
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Odds
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals @ -250 Odds
- Anytime Goalscorer: Milan Smit @ 187 Odds
- First Goalscorer: Milan Smit @ 500 Odds
- To be Booked: Ben Pearson @ 175 Odds
- Asian Handicap: Oxford Utd +1 @ -223 Odds
- European Handicap: Oxford Utd +1 @ -111 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 4.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
- Double Chance: X2 @ -111 Odds
- Draw No Bet: Stoke to Win @ -300 Odds
- Half Time/Full Time: X (Draw)/X (Draw) @ 375 Odds
- Clean Sheet: Stoke - No @ -163 Odds
Where Can You Place Bets on Stoke City vs Oxford United?
You can place your bets on Stoke City vs Oxford United at the following bookmakers:
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18+ New UK+ROI Customers only. Certain deposit methods & bet types excl. Min first £/€5 bet within 14 days of account reg at min odds 1/2 to get 4x £/€5 free bets. Free bets available to use on selected sportsbook markets only. Free bets valid for 7 days, stake not returned. Restrictions + T&Cs apply. #Ad / GambleAware.org / 18+
View OfferStoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlld | 1.00 |
| Home | dllld | 0.83 |
| Away | wddl | 1.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.80 | 2.17 | 1.25 |
| Scored | 0.80 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.14 | 1.22 | 1.01 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.38 | 1.43 | 1.30 |
Oxford United Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | ldlld | 0.80 |
| Home | ddlll | 0.40 |
| Away | dwldd | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Scored | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Conceded | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| BTTS | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 70% | 100% | 40% |
| Expected Goals | 1.01 | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.46 | 1.27 | 1.66 |
Stoke City vs Oxford United Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Stoke City (33%)
3 Matches
Oxford United (33%)
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