Stoke City and Swansea City meet in a clash between two inconsistent sides searching for stability. However, we predict a 2-1 home win due to Swansea's poor away record. The Potters’ home form offers some encouragement, collecting 1.50 points per game at the Bet365 Stadium and scoring 2.25 goals per match on their own turf. Their overall attacking output sits at 1.40 goals per game, but failures to score in 40% of recent fixtures highlight issues in the final third. Defensively, Stoke keep clean sheets in 30% of matches, and their xGA of 1.45 suggests vulnerability if the midfield loses control. Mark Robins, however, benefits from a fully fit squad, an advantage in a tight fixture.
The South Wales outfit travel with mixed form, winning their last two but losing four straight before that. Their away record remains poor (0.25 points per game, 1.00 goal scored, 2.25 conceded), and they’ve failed to score in 25% of away matches. Still, their BTTS rate of 70% overall and expected goals of 1.25 show they create enough to trouble defences. Vitor Matos also has the luxury of fielding his best possible XI.
Given Swansea's difficulties on the road and Stoke's fine home record, we are tempted to bet on Home Win, with additional value on Over 1.5 and Over 2.5 goals as Stoke score 3.25 goals per game at home and Swansea 3.10 overall.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday 13 December 2025 at 12:30.
What is our Stoke City vs Swansea prediction?
Our prediction for this match: Stoke City 2 - 1 Swansea
Stoke City vs Swansea Betting Tips
- Correct Score: 2-1
- Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes
- Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals
- Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals
- Goalscorer: Robert Bozenik @ 175 Odds
- To be booked: Junior Tchamadeu @ 110 Odds
- Shots on Target (Home): Over 4.5
- Shots on Target (Away): Over 2.5
- Shots on Target (Total): Over 7.5
- Total Corners: 9 - 11 @ 160 Odds
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View OfferStoke City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlll | 1.20 |
| Home | wlwl | 1.50 |
| Away | wwlll | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.33 |
| Scored | 1.40 | 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Conceded | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 30% | 50% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 25% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.26 | 1.49 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.45 | 1.33 | 1.54 |
Swansea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lllww | 1.00 |
| Home | lllww | 1.50 |
| Away | dlll | 0.25 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% | 0% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Scored | 1.20 | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.25 |
| BTTS | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 25% |
| Expected Goals | 1.25 | 1.18 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.53 | 1.45 | 1.66 |
Stoke City vs Swansea Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Stoke City (50%)
28 Matches
Swansea (29%)
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