What is our Swansea vs Bristol City prediction?
Swansea
2 - 1
Bristol City
Our prediction for this match: Swansea 2 - 1 Bristol City
Swansea vs Bristol City Preview
Swansea City return to home soil aiming to respond after a 2–0 defeat to Derby and given Bristol City's struggles on the road, our prediction firmly points toward a 2-1 home win. The Swans' home numbers remain strong: 2.20 PPG, 60% home win rate, and 2.20 goals scored per home match. Even without the banned Marko Stamenic, Swansea’s attacking metrics are impressive—1.80 xG at home and a failure-to-score rate of 0% in front of their own fans. Defensively, they’re solid too, conceding just 0.80 per home match.
Bristol City travel to South Wales with only Luke McNally missing and unbeaten in their last two, but their away form is patchy: just 1.00 PPG, 25% win rate, and 1.00 goal scored per away match. The high overall BTTS rate (40%) and elevated goals-per-game averages (3.40 overall) show they can be dangerous, but they fail to score in 50% of away games—an issue against a well-organised Swansea side.
Given the numbers and Swansea’s home output, a Home win, BTTS, and over 1.5 goals align with our betting angle.
This Championship match will be played on Saturday, 21 February 2026 at 12:30.
- League
- Championship
- Kick-off
- Sat 21 Feb 2026, 12:30UK time
Swansea vs Bristol City Betting Tips
| Betting Tip | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Match result | ||
| Correct Score: Swansea 2-1 Bristol City | 8/1 | |
| Double Chance: 1X | 3/10 | |
| Draw No Bet: Swansea | 1/2 | |
| Half Time/Full Time: Swansea / Swansea | 12/5 | |
| Asian Handicap: Swansea 0 | 1/2 | |
| European Handicap: Swansea +1 | 3/10 | |
| Player bets | ||
| Anytime Goalscorer: Adam Idah | 13/8 | |
| First Goalscorer: Adam Idah | 5/1 | |
| To be Booked: Ross McCrorie | 7/4 | |
| Goals | ||
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | 4/5 | |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals: Over 1.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals: Over 2.5 Goals | 1/1 | |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals: Under 3.5 Goals | 3/10 | |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals: Under 4.5 Goals | 1/9 | |
| Swansea Clean Sheet: No | 2/5 | |
| Corners | ||
| Total Corners: 9 - 11 | 8/5 | |
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View OfferSwansea Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | wwlddwlwwl | 1.70 |
| Home | wddww | 2.20 |
| Away | wllwl | 1.20 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Scored | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| BTTS | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to Score | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Expected Goals | 1.65 | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.27 | 1.00 | 1.54 |
Bristol City Team Form and Stats
| Form | Results | Points Per Game |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | lwlwdlwlwd | 1.40 |
| Home | wlwwld | 1.67 |
| Away | ldlw | 1.00 |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| Scored | 1.80 | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Conceded | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| BTTS | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Failed to Score | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Expected Goals | 1.29 | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals Against | 1.08 | 1.00 | 1.21 |
Swansea vs Bristol City Head to Head Statistics (H2H)
Swansea (30%)
23 Matches
Bristol City (39%)
Swansea vs Bristol City Past Results
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